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Data: The probability of bitcoin falling below $90,000 this year on Polymarket is 59%, indicating a decrease in previous fear sentiment.
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According to ChainCatcher, citing the latest data from Polymarket, the probability that bitcoin will fall below $90,000 in 2025 is 59%, down 11% from the previous forecast of 70%. The probability of falling below $80,000 is 23%. In contrast, the probability that BTC will break above $120,000 within the year is 21%. The total trading volume in the current prediction pool has exceeded $56 million.
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