Data: Polymarket predicts a 59% probability that Bitcoin will fall below $90,000 this year.
according to the latest data from Polymarket, the predicted probability of Bitcoin falling below $90,000 within 2025 is 59%, down 11% from the previous predicted probability of 70%; the probability of falling below $80,000 is 23%. In contrast, the predicted probability of BTC breaking above $120,000 within the year is 21%. The total trading volume of the current prediction pool has exceeded $56 million.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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Bitcoin drops 1.42% as realized losses and a death cross pattern indicate bearish momentum
- Bitcoin fell 1.42% to $93,899.82 on Nov 16, 2025, marking its eighth consecutive weekly loss with an 8.54% decline. - On-chain data showed $722M in realized losses, while a "death cross" technical signal highlighted bearish pressure amid fragile market conditions. - Bitcoin's market dominance rose to 59.2%, reflecting broader crypto weakness as 75% of coins dropped, though institutional buyers like MicroStrategy continued accumulating BTC.
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