Bitget App
Trade smarter
MarketsTradeFuturesEarnSquareMore
LUNA Drops 12.63% Over the Past Month as Market Fluctuates

LUNA Drops 12.63% Over the Past Month as Market Fluctuates

Bitget-RWA2025/11/16 16:00
By:Bitget-RWA

- LUNA rose 0.87% in 24 hours but fell 5.01% over 7 days and 12.63% in a month, reflecting persistent downward pressure. - Market caution persists as technical indicators show short-term bullish signals but long-term bearish trends, complicating recovery prospects. - Backtesting revealed mixed post-10% decline recovery patterns, with 60-day average returns slightly positive but high volatility and variable optimal holding periods.

As of NOV 16 2025,

increased by 0.87% in the past 24 hours, reaching $0.0815. However, over the last week, the asset declined by 5.01%. Looking at a broader timeframe, LUNA has dropped 12.63% in the past month and has fallen 80.32% over the last year. These numbers illustrate that LUNA continues to face ongoing downward pressure, despite occasional short-term gains.

Although LUNA experienced a small price rise in the last 24 hours, this has not led to sustained

. The declines over the past week and month indicate that investors remain wary of LUNA’s potential. Market analysts point out that broader market trends, including movements in related assets and overall investor sentiment, are still negatively impacting LUNA’s performance.

Technical analysis of LUNA’s price trends reveals a complex picture. While some short-term indicators have shown brief bullish signals, the longer-term outlook remains negative. This contrast could suggest a phase of consolidation or possibly a reversal in the asset’s direction. Still, without new catalysts or significant changes in market conditions, it remains uncertain if a lasting recovery is imminent.

Backtest Hypothesis

In light of LUNA’s recent trends, a backtesting study was performed to explore possible investment strategies. The hypothesis focused on LUNA’s behavior after experiencing a monthly drop of 10% or more. The analysis identified every occurrence since January 1, 2022, where LUNA’s price fell by at least 10% over a month. Using these dates, a backtesting tool was used to measure post-event performance, including average returns, hit rates, best holding periods, and drawdown statistics.

The results showed that following a monthly decline of 10% or greater, LUNA’s recovery has historically been inconsistent. Some periods saw partial rebounds, while others continued to decline for several more months. The average return over the 60 days after such events was slightly positive but highly variable. The hit rate—meaning the proportion of times returns were positive during this window—was moderate, indicating that LUNA’s short-term recovery after major drops is unpredictable.

The best holding periods differed, with some cases yielding better results after 30 days and others after 60 days. Drawdown data highlighted the asset’s volatility, with some losses quickly recovered and others taking months to reverse. These results suggest that while a 10% monthly drop does not always signal a prolonged downturn for LUNA, it does mark a period where investors should exercise increased caution and reconsider their strategies.

0

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

You may also like

Zero Knowledge Proof (ZKP) Raises the Bar With $17M Advance Proof Pods Manufacturing While XRP & ARB Signal Volatility

Zero Knowledge Proof advances with $17M worth of Proof Pods ready beforehand while the XRP price pattern tightens and the Arbitrum price forecast turns bullish, redefining the next wave of top crypto assets.Zero Knowledge Proof (ZKP) Proof Pods, Infrastructure, and Fair AuctionsArbitrum Price Forecast Points Toward ReversalXRP Price Pattern Signals Volatility AheadFinal Thoughts

Coinomedia2025/11/16 23:09
Zero Knowledge Proof (ZKP) Raises the Bar With $17M Advance Proof Pods Manufacturing While XRP & ARB Signal Volatility

Arthur Hayes Moves Over $2.5M in ETH, ENA, and ETHFI

Arthur Hayes may have sold over $2.5M in ETH, ENA, and ETHFI tokens in the last 7 hours, according to LookOnChain data.Arthur Hayes Reportedly Dumps $2.5M in TokensWhat’s Behind the Sudden Move?Market Sentiment and Impact

Coinomedia2025/11/16 23:09
Arthur Hayes Moves Over $2.5M in ETH, ENA, and ETHFI