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The current Bitcoin environment is being shaped by three dominant narratives: Structural scarcity from illiquid supply Macro tailwinds from the Federal Reserve’s rate cut Renewed confidence following FTX’s 1.6 billion dollar recovery trust disbursement Each narrative affects liquidity, sentiment, and price direction. Together, they outline the possible paths BTC could take in the coming weeks. Market Setup and Trading Predictions Bitcoin is currently trading at 115,600 dollars, consolidating after its recent highs. The question every trader should ask is: Are we preparing for a breakout continuation, or is a pullback brewing? Bullish plan A decisive daily close above 118,000 to 120,000 dollars flips momentum back to the upside The path opens toward 124,000 dollar ATH retest, with potential extension to 130,000 to 135,000 dollars by year end if demand accelerates Traders should only chase strength after confirmation above 120,000 Bearish plan Failure to hold 115,000 dollars exposes BTC to a corrective move into the 110,000 to 108,500 dollar demand zone This zone has historically attracted long term wallet accumulation, making it an attractive accumulation area Break below 108,000 dollars would invalidate the current bullish structure and force deeper reassessment ⚠️ Strategy note: Range trading mindset remains key until BTC exits the 110,000 to 120,000 bracket. Do not front run, let the levels show conviction. Illiquid Supply and Scarcity Dynamics Illiquid Bitcoin has reached a record 14.3 million BTC (72 percent of circulating supply), as reported by Scott Matherson. This has three direct consequences: 1. Reduced sell pressure – long term dormant coins rarely come back into circulation 2. Supply shock risk – demand spikes can cause outsized moves with less liquid supply 3. Scarcity narrative – Fidelity projects over 6 million BTC illiquid by 2025, reinforcing Bitcoin’s store of value thesis 🔎 Readers, think about this: If 72 percent of supply is locked away, what happens when institutional bids return in size? Risks to watch Ancient wallets awakening, such as July’s 80,000 BTC sale Corporate treasuries rebalancing if BTC appreciates too quickly Macro Tailwinds: Federal Reserve Rate Cut The Fed’s 25 basis point cut weakens the dollar and supports risk assets. For BTC, two effects are visible: Exchange outflows are increasing according to Glassnode, which is a bullish sign of reduced sell intent Liquidity flows are improving, aligning with risk on behavior across equities and crypto This macro backdrop strengthens the bullish case, but profit taking from long term holders remains a headwind near 124,000 to 130,000 dollars. FTX Recovery Trust and Market Liquidity FTX’s 1.6 billion dollar recovery trust disbursement improves sentiment across crypto: Boosts confidence by resolving legacy fears Sparks speculative flows, visible in the sharp rally of FTT While not directly tied to BTC, confidence spillovers encourage traders to hold rather than sell, which is a net positive for Bitcoin. Trading Map (Levels and Scenarios) Bullish scenario Breakout above 120,000 dollars Immediate target 124,000 dollars (ATH retest) Extension to 130,000 to 135,000 dollars Bearish scenario Breakdown below 115,000 dollars Pullback into 110,000 to 108,500 dollar demand zone Risk of deeper selloff if 108,000 dollars fails Neutral range Price is between 110,000 to 120,000 dollars Patience required until breakout or breakdown 📌 Use this map as a quick glance guide. Avoid bias and wait for level confirmation before positioning. Other News: Pepe’s Ambition to Mirror Cardano On the altcoin side, Little Pepe (LILPEPE) has raised 25.5 million dollars in presale, branding itself as an Ethereum Layer 2 for meme tokens. Analysts compare its potential to Cardano’s 2021 rally, which produced a 1,400 percent gain in nine months If mirrored, LILPEPE could climb from 0.0022 dollars to 0.033 dollars, representing a 15x move Projections extend as high as 0.10 to 1.00 dollars under speculative scenarios ⚠️ DYOR warning: These numbers are theoretical projections based on prior cycles. Meme coins carry outsized risk compared to BTC. Conclusion Above 120,000 dollars: bulls eye 124,000 to 130,000 dollars Below 115,000 dollars: eyes shift to 110,000 demand zone for accumulation Range between 110,000 to 120,000 dollars: patience, no need to overtrade Illiquid supply continues to underpin BTC’s scarcity thesis. The Fed’s rate cut and FTX’s recovery improve sentiment. But as always, risk control is crucial since profit taking by long term holders or macro shocks could derail setups. 🔎 Question for readers: If BTC pulls back to 110,000 dollars, will you see it as a gift to accumulate, or a warning sign of deeper weakness? 🚨 Final note: None of this is financial advice. Use these levels and scenarios as part of your own strategy. Always do your own research, manage risk, and adapt as the chart evolves. $BTC

FTX Token (FTT) Breaks Above $1.00 Resistance as Bullish Momentum Builds FTT price surges 3.27% to $1.00, breaking key resistance levels with strong momentum indicators signaling potential continuation of the bullish trend.

The upcoming $1.6 billion repayment from FTX is poised to inject a significant amount of liquidity into the crypto market. After the exchange's collapse three years ago, this large-scale distribution is a key event that could influence market sentiment and price action. While the payout is a positive step, it is also $300 million less than what was previously announced, adding a layer of complexity to the potential market impact. The Current Market Opportunity The market is showing signs of being primed for an "altcoin season." This is a period where altcoins experience rapid growth and outperform Bitcoin. On-chain data and market analysis show a few key indicators: Liquidity Influx: The influx of $1.6 billion could act as the necessary capital injection to drive a market-wide rally, particularly for altcoins. Altcoin Season Index: The Altcoin Season Index is reportedly at 74, signaling that conditions are highly favorable for altcoins to begin outperforming. FTT Token Rally: Following the news, the FTT token, FTX's native cryptocurrency, rallied, demonstrating a positive market reaction to the repayment news. This combination of factors suggests that the market is at a pivotal moment, and the FTX repayment could be the catalyst that triggers the next bull run for altcoins. The Market's Two Possible Outcomes Analysts are watching for a decisive market move after the payout. There are two potential scenarios: Altcoin Season Bull Run: The $1.6 billion in new liquidity is enough to ignite retail sentiment and create strong buying pressure. This would push altcoin prices up across the board, potentially leading to a sustained rally. Muted Reaction: The smaller-than-expected payout or a lack of strong follow-through buying could lead to a less significant market reaction. The liquidity is absorbed without a major price shift, and the market continues its current trends. 📌 Conclusion: A Payout with High Stakes The FTX repayment is a critical event for the crypto market. The infusion of new capital, combined with a positive technical environment, presents a strong case for an impending altcoin season. The market's reaction in the coming weeks will determine whether this payout becomes a historical moment that kicks off a new bull run or is simply a well-needed but less impactful liquidity event. 🔐 Disclaimer This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and investments carry a significant risk. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

FTX Token Surges 21% as FTT Price Breaks Above Key Resistance at $0.99 FTT price rallies 21.21% to $0.99, breaking critical resistance levels with overbought RSI signaling potential consolidation ahead for traders.