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The cryptocurrency market on January 11, 2026, witnessed a mixed bag of significant price movements, crucial regulatory discussions, notable project updates, and a burgeoning recovery in the NFT sector. The total market capitalization stood resiliently around $3.18 trillion amidst a climate of caution and apprehension among investors.
Market Performance: Bitcoin Consolidates, Ethereum Shows Resilience, Altcoins Diverge
Bitcoin (BTC), the leading digital asset, spent the day largely consolidating within the $90,000-$91,000 range. While some reports indicated a slight dip to $97,474, other consistent data points placed it closer to $90,662. This follows a period where Bitcoin has been range-bound between $90,000 and $93,000, failing to achieve decisive breakouts. Investor caution is evident, with spot market inflows hitting a six-week low at $282 million, and institutional investors reducing their exposure after a strong start to the year. Analysts are closely monitoring key macro policy decisions, including Federal Reserve leadership, with policy uncertainty dampening risk appetite. Indeed, some technical analyses suggest a potential further decline, with Bitcoin possibly testing the $68,000 mark, representing a 25% drop from current levels, breaking below its 50-week moving average for the first time since October 2023. The overall sentiment reflected by the Fear & Greed Index is at a cautious 29, signaling widespread apprehension.
Ethereum (ETH) navigated a similar landscape, consolidating above the $3,000 mark, with its price around $3,095 to $3,150. Despite a slight increase of 0.43% in 24 hours, it mirrored Bitcoin's cautious positioning ahead of macroeconomic catalysts. Experts like Wall Street analyst Tom Lee predict Ethereum could soar to $9,000, representing a 177% increase in 2026, though some acknowledge his vested interest as a holder of significant Ether. More conservative predictions suggest it could hit $4,000 in 2026, driven by continuous network upgrades.
In the altcoin market, there was notable divergence. XRP experienced an 8.61% drop, trading at $2.26, while Monero (XMR) surged by 7.33%. Maple Finance (SYRUP) also bucked the trend with a 1.29% rise. Discussions around XRP highlight its potential for integration into global settlement systems like SWIFT, with regulatory clarity being a key factor for institutional adoption.
Regulatory Landscape: US Clarity Act and Global Frameworks
Regulation remains a central theme, with the US Senate scheduled to vote on the CLARITY Act on January 15. This proposed legislation aims to establish clearer rules for digital assets, targeting issues like fake volume, wash trading, and opaque reserves. However, concerns persist regarding the US regulatory environment, especially the perceived failure of recent market structure bills to adequately address decentralized finance (DeFi), which could lead to an exodus of crypto innovation from American shores. On a more positive note, the US has laid the groundwork for stablecoins to integrate into mainstream finance with the passing of the GENIUS Act in 2025, which established a comprehensive federal framework for dollar-backed stablecoins.
Internationally, Europe's Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCAR) has imposed stringent requirements on stablecoin issuers, yet stablecoin market share has not expanded as anticipated, partly due to structural factors and the euro's limited role in global trade. Conversely, Dubai is solidifying its position as a global hub for digital asset trading, attracting institutions with its clear regulatory frameworks, such as the Virtual Assets Regulation (VAL) law.
Significant Project Developments and Security Incidents
Several projects saw important updates and events today. Aptos initiated an unlock of 11.31 million tokens, representing approximately 0.73% of its released supply. COTI underwent its Helium Mainnet Upgrade, introducing native 128-bit and 256-bit support to enhance private computation for confidential DeFi and Real-World Assets (RWAs). Qtum announced a Hard Fork to align with the latest Bitcoin 29.1 release and integrate the Ethereum Pectra update. Optimism (OP) held an X Space to discuss a token buyback governance proposal.
Ethereum's development continues with planned upgrades in 2026, including 'Glamsterdam' and 'Hegota,' aimed at improving scaling and transaction efficiency. A 'Blob Parameters Only' fork was recently implemented as part of the Fusaka upgrade, increasing data availability for Layer 2 solutions.
A notable security incident on January 8 saw a hacker launder $26 million in ETH through Tornado Cash, following an exploit of a smart contract vulnerability in the Truebit Protocol. This marks the first major DeFi breach of the year. Meanwhile, whales in the Aave ecosystem reportedly accumulated 8% of the supply following a previous sell-off, signaling potential smart money positioning.
NFT Market: Signs of Recovery Amidst Lingering Skepticism
The Non-Fungible Token (NFT) market is showing unexpected signs of recovery, with sales volume jumping over 30% in the first week of January 2026, ending a three-month downtrend. The overall NFT market capitalization has increased by more than $220 million in the past week. Utility-driven and celebrity-backed NFTs are garnering renewed interest, although new capital inflows remain scarce, suggesting that the rebound is largely fueled by existing holders. Some analysts remain optimistic, predicting a potential bull run later in 2026, driven by enterprise adoption and technological integration. However, the market faces skepticism, given that total transaction volume in 2025 significantly declined, and events like NFT Paris were canceled due to lack of funding, indicating that a full recovery is still a distant prospect for many.
In conclusion, January 11, 2026, presents a cryptocurrency market in a state of flux. While Bitcoin and Ethereum grapple with consolidation and cautious investor sentiment, regulatory clarity and ongoing technological advancements continue to shape the industry's future. The NFT sector is attempting a comeback, highlighting the dynamic and ever-evolving nature of the digital asset space.
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How are institutions and celebrities predicting Bitcoin prices in 2026?
The table below shows the price predictions for Bitcoin by relevant institutions and prominent figures at the end of 2025. All information was collected from publicly available online sources.
Optimistic views are primarily based on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, increased institutional allocation, and structural buying driven by spot ETFs, with targets mostly concentrated between $150,000 and $250,000. Cautious and bearish views emphasize that slowing demand, macroeconomic tightening, or technical structural disruption could trigger a deep pullback, with scenarios potentially leading to declines to $70,000, $56,000, $25,000, or even $10,000.
Some of these institutions' and celebrities' past predictions were very close to Bitcoin's price performance, while others were quite far off. Therefore, please consider these predictions objectively in conjunction with more information.
In summary, Bitcoin's price performance in 2026 will primarily be driven by the implementation of the US National Bitcoin Strategic Reserve policy and the macro liquidity resulting from global monetary easing. Meanwhile, the market's cyclical recovery demand following the significant correction in 2025, the continued allocation of institutional funds, and global geopolitical and inflationary pressures will also be key variables influencing its price trend.
| Institutions and Celebrities | Introductions | Bitcoin target price in 2026 | Attitude |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Hoskinson | Cardano founder | $250,000 | Very optimistic |
| Robert Kiyosaki | Rich Dad, Poor Dad author | $250,000 | Very optimistic |
| Galaxy Digital | Crypto asset management company | $250,000 | Very optimistic |
| Arthur Hayes | BitMEX co-founder | $200,000+ | Very optimistic |
| Brad Garlinghouse | Ripple CEO | $180,000 | Very optimistic |
| VanEck | Investment companies specializing in ETFs | $180,000 | Very optimistic |
| JPMorgan | A leading global financial services group | $170,000 | Very optimistic |
| Tom Lee | Fundstrat founder | $150,000–$200,000 | Very optimistic |
| Standard Chartered Bank | British International Commercial Bank | $150,000 | Optimistic |
| Bernstein Research | Wall Street investment banks | $150,000 | Optimistic |
| Bitwise | Crypto asset management company | $150,000 | Optimistic |
| Citigroup | Global financial services group | $143,000 | Optimistic |
| Grayscale | The world's largest crypto asset management company | Breaking all-time high | Optimistic |
| Jurrien Timmer | Fidelity Director of Global Macro | $75,000 | Pessimistic |
| CryptoQuant | On-chain data analytics platform | $56,000～$70,000 | Pessimistic |
| Peter Brandt | Legendary trader with over 40 years of experience | $25,000 | Very Pessimistic |
| Mike McGlone | Senior Commodity Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence | $10,000 | Very Pessimistic |
What will the price of PI be in 2027?
In 2027, based on a +5% annual growth rate forecast, the price of Pi(PI) is expected to reach $0.3288; based on the predicted price for this year, the cumulative return on investment of investing and holding Pi until the end of 2027 will reach +5%. For more details, check out the Pi price predictions for 2026, 2027, 2030-2050.What will the price of PI be in 2030?
About Pi (PI)
What Is Pi Network?
Pi Network is a unique crypto project and blockchain ecosystem. It aims to make cryptocurrency mining accessible to everyone – even if you’ve never mined a coin before in your life. Unlike Bitcoin, which requires energy-intensive hardware, Pi lets you mine coins just by tapping a button on your phone. Sounds simple? That’s the idea. Since launching in 2019, Pi has built a massive global community of users (called Pioneers) who earn Pi coins by participating in a social, trust-based network.
How Was Pi Network Created?
Born on Pi Day (March 14, 2019), Pi Network set out with a bold mission: make cryptocurrency easy for everyone. It kicked off with a simple mobile app and quickly grew a dedicated user base that earned Pi coins by checking in daily and building trust circles. Instead of needing technical know-how or expensive gear, all you needed was your phone.
Important milestones include:
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March 2019: The app launches in beta
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March 2020: Pi Testnet begins
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December 2021: Enclosed Mainnet phase begins (internal blockchain goes live)
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February 20, 2025: Full Mainnet goes public (Open Mainnet)
Who Built the Pi Network?
Pi Coin was created by a group of Stanford Ph.D. graduates: Dr. Nicolas Kokkalis (Computer Science), Dr. Chengdiao Fan (Anthropology), and Vincent McPhillip (who later left the team). With their academic backgrounds, the team focused on building a blockchain system that combined technical innovation with social behavior.
How To Mine Pi Coin?
Mining Pi is simple. You download the Pi Network app on your phone, sign in, and tap a lightning button once every 24 hours. That’s it. Your phone isn’t actually doing complex calculations. Pi Network runs on a social security model where users create trust circles and build decentralized consensus.
There are four types of users:
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Pioneer: A daily user who taps to mine.
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Contributor: Adds trusted users to a "security circle" to help secure the network.
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Ambassador: Invites others to join and earns bonuses.
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Node: Runs the actual blockchain software on a desktop (more technical).
Mining rate decreases over time as more users join, making early participation more rewarding.
Has Pi Been Listed on Exchanges?
Pi officially transitioned to open mainnet on February 20, 2025. That means Pi coins can now (in theory) be traded outside the app. Some exchanges have listed Pi or Pi IOU tokens. However, a full global listing is still in progress.
Can I Buy Anything With Pi Coin?
Yes – but mostly within the Pi community. Some users have bought small items like mugs, t-shirts, electronics, or food by using Pi as a form of barter. Pi even held a "PiFest" event where over 100,000 merchants signed up to try accepting Pi. However, big-name stores and apps don’t accept Pi yet. It’s still very early, and Pi’s buying power is community-driven rather than mainstream.
Is Pi Network Legit?
Pi doesn't require upfront investment or fees to start mining, which sets it apart from many scams. The core team is transparent and development continues steadily. While it's too soon to say Pi is a guaranteed success, it certainly isn’t a get-rich-quick scheme or an obvious fraud. It’s a slow-burn crypto experiment worth watching.
How to Complete KYC Verification on Pi
To unlock and use your Pi in the real world, you'll need to complete KYC (identity verification). Here’s how:
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Install Pi Browser (separate from the Pi Network app)
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Create a wallet and save your recovery phrase somewhere safe
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Tap the KYC icon, upload your ID, and verify your face with your camera
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Submit and pay the small fee (usually 1 Pi) and wait for confirmation
Once verified, you can move your coins from in-app balance to your mainnet wallet and start exploring what Pi can offer.
Pi Coin Price Today: Hype, Hope, and Honest Reality
From "How much is 1 Pi coin worth?" to "Can Pi make me rich?" – the curiosity around Pi Coin’s value is sky-high. The truth is, Pi’s price is still taking shape. Depending on the platform, 1 Pi might be valued anywhere from a few bucks to ambitious future projections. But keep in mind: prices seen on smaller exchanges or peer-to-peer groups don’t necessarily reflect stable market value.
At this stage, Pi’s real worth isn’t just in dollars – it’s in its growing community, expanding use cases, and slow but steady journey into the crypto mainstream. It’s not magic money, but it’s not meaningless either. Pi’s value will ultimately come from what people can do with it, not just what it trades for.
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Pi Network Project Analysis: A Vision for Accessible Cryptocurrency
Executive Summary
Pi Network, launched in 2019, aims to create a cryptocurrency and developer platform that is accessible to everyone. Differentiating itself from energy-intensive Proof-of-Work (PoW) cryptocurrencies, Pi utilizes a mobile-centric 'mining' approach, allowing users to earn Pi coins by simply checking in daily on their smartphones. While boasting a massive global user base, the project remains in an 'Enclosed Mainnet' phase, focused on fostering utility and completing essential infrastructure, including a robust Know Your Customer (KYC) verification system, before a full open mainnet launch. Its unique approach has garnered both significant community enthusiasm and scrutiny regarding its long-term viability and intrinsic value.
Introduction to Pi Network
Founded by a team of Stanford PhDs, including Dr. Nicolas Kokkalis and Dr. Chengdiao Fan, Pi Network envisions a world where cryptocurrency is not an exclusive domain for the technically savvy or the financially privileged, but a ubiquitous digital currency usable by anyone with a smartphone. The project seeks to overcome common barriers to cryptocurrency adoption, such as complexity, energy consumption, and concentrated ownership. By facilitating 'mining' through a mobile application, Pi Network has amassed tens of millions of engaged users worldwide, all contributing to its distributed network and anticipating the utility of their accumulated Pi.
Core Technology and Decentralization
At the heart of Pi Network’s technical architecture is an adaptation of the Stellar Consensus Protocol (SCP). Unlike Bitcoin's PoW, which relies on competitive computational power, SCP uses a federated Byzantine agreement mechanism. In Pi's implementation, users on the mobile app act as 'Pioneers' who can earn Pi by confirming their presence and contributing to the network's security through their 'security circle.' These security circles are groups of 3-5 trusted individuals designated by each user, forming a global trust graph that helps secure the ledger and prevent fraudulent transactions. The network's decentralization is further enhanced by Pi Nodes, which run the SCP algorithm and validate transactions, ensuring the integrity and resilience of the Pi blockchain. This design aims to achieve decentralization and security without the heavy energy consumption associated with traditional cryptocurrency mining.
The Pi Ecosystem and Utility
Pi Network is actively developing an ecosystem designed to give Pi coins intrinsic value through real-world utility. Key components include the Pi Browser, which serves as a gateway to decentralized applications (dApps) built on the Pi blockchain. The Pi Wallet allows users to manage their Pi holdings, facilitating transactions within the enclosed mainnet. The 'Enclosed Mainnet' phase is crucial, as it allows for the testing and iteration of the ecosystem, enabling Pioneers to use Pi for payments, trade goods and services within a closed environment, and experience the network’s capabilities firsthand. The Pi Apps platform encourages developers to build applications that leverage Pi as a medium of exchange, aiming to create a vibrant digital economy fueled by Pi.
Community Engagement and Global Reach
One of Pi Network’s most defining features is its extraordinarily large and dedicated global community. With users spanning virtually every country, the network benefits from a massive, active participant base that engages daily with the mobile application. This widespread adoption underscores the project's success in making cryptocurrency accessible and engaging for a mainstream audience. The community actively participates in discussions, tests new features, and contributes to the growth and development of the ecosystem, demonstrating significant grassroots support for the project's vision.
Challenges and Criticisms
Despite its impressive user base, Pi Network faces several significant challenges. A primary concern is the protracted 'Enclosed Mainnet' phase and the delay in achieving an 'Open Mainnet.' This prolonged wait has led to skepticism among some, with questions arising about the project's timeline and the ultimate realization of its utility. The Know Your Customer (KYC) verification process, essential for migrating mined Pi to the mainnet, has also been a bottleneck for many users, slowing down the transition to a fully functional ecosystem. Additionally, without an open mainnet, the Pi coin has no officially established market value, leading to speculation and concerns about its future valuation. Critics also point to the perceived lack of transparency regarding the full tokenomics and the mechanisms that will govern the supply and distribution of Pi once the open mainnet is launched.
Future Outlook and Potential
Pi Network's future hinges on a successful transition to an open mainnet and the establishment of demonstrable utility for the Pi coin. The ability to complete the mass KYC verification process efficiently and to onboard a diverse range of dApps that provide genuine value to users will be critical. If Pi Network can overcome these hurdles, its massive, globally distributed user base presents an unprecedented opportunity for widespread cryptocurrency adoption and the creation of a truly inclusive digital economy. The project's unique approach to mobile-centric 'mining' and its focus on accessibility position it as a potentially disruptive force in the broader cryptocurrency landscape, provided it can deliver on its ambitious promises of utility and decentralization.
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