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Altcoins Under Pressure: XRP Hits April Lows While Bitcoin Holds Firm. $XRP slid to its weakest level since 9 April during early Asian trading, extending a broad sell-off across altcoins as risk appetite in crypto markets stayed firmly subdued. The token dropped to roughly $1.77 around 01:30 UTC, based on XRP/USD data via TradingView, before trimming some of those losses later in the session. Even with the modest bounce, XRP remains about 8% lower over the past seven days, underscoring ongoing pressure on higher-beta crypto assets as liquidity conditions tighten. Altcoin weakness spreads Selling pressure was not confined to XRP. Ethereum is down roughly 9% over the past week, while Solana has slipped close to 10%. Losses have been more pronounced elsewhere. $ADA has fallen more than 14%, and Chainlink is lower by around 12%, according to TradingView data. The Altcoin Season Index dropped to 15, reinforcing the view that markets remain firmly in a Bitcoin-led phase. The index has now stayed below 25 for several weeks, highlighting sustained underperformance among large-cap altcoins relative to Bitcoin. Bitcoin holds its footing $BTC has shown comparatively better resilience, down about 5% week on week, with prices consolidating in the $87,000 to $88,000 range. While Bitcoin’s relative stability has helped contain broader market drawdowns, it has offered little relief to altcoins, which remain more sensitive to shifts in funding costs and risk positioning. Sentiment indicators continue to point to caution. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index hovered near 21 at the time, firmly in fear territory and signalling defensive positioning across the market. Macro catalyst in focus The sell-off unfolded ahead of the Bank of Japan’s policy decision, with traders cutting risk into the event in a classic “sell-the-rumour” move. XRP touched April lows during Asian hours as positioning across altcoins turned increasingly defensive. After the BoJ delivered a widely expected 25 basis point rate hike to 0.75%, selling pressure eased. XRP rebounded toward $1.86 alongside the broader crypto market, suggesting much of the move had already been priced in. What traders are watching With XRP stabilising off its lows, attention is now on whether the rebound can draw sustained participation. Twenty-four-hour trading volume jumped more than 30% to about $4.7 billion as of 09:00 UTC yesterday, pointing to short-term repositioning rather than a decisive shift in sentiment. For now, market participants remain focused on liquidity conditions and funding costs, with altcoins likely to stay vulnerable unless broader risk appetite shows a meaningful improvement.

Spot Bitcoin ETF outflows have recently mounted: Data from SoSoValue and related trackers show that Bitcoin spot ETFs experienced over $500 million in net outflows across recent sessions (e.g., $277 M in one day plus continued redemptions) amid broader market weakness. This is part of a pattern where flows have oscillated between outflows and short-lived inflows in recent weeks. 2. Part of a larger multiday outflow trend: Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have faced sustained withdrawals for several sessions, coinciding with price dips (BTC below ~$87,000 and ETH below ~$3,000), hinting that capital is moving out of the biggest crypto funds in the short term. 3. Some heavy redemptions from major providers: BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) and similar products at times saw significant net outflows — including eye-catching single-day withdrawals in prior weeks — reflecting profit-taking or defensive repositioning by some holders. 📈 But It’s Not Pure “Institutional Flight” 1. Outflows aren’t overwhelmingly large relative to assets: Even with outflows over the past week, they represent a small portion of total ETF assets under management and are interspersed with days of inflows and defensive trades unwinding. Some analysts emphasize that these movements look more like trading adjustments than a wholesale institutional exodus. 2. Market conditions and positioning matter: ETF outflows have coincided with shrinking futures and options open interest, suggesting risk reduction by traders rather than panic selling by long-term institutional holders. 3. Occasional rebounds and fresh capital: There have been recent days with strong inflows (e.g., around $450M in Bitcoin ETF inflows tied to shifting macro expectations), showing that demand can return quickly when sentiment or monetary policy prospects improve. 4. Distinct flows across crypto ETFs: Capital flows are not uniform — while Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have bled capital at times, altcoin spot ETFs like XRP and Solana products continue attracting new money, pointing to rotation rather than pure withdrawal of institutional capital. 📊 Institutional Behavior vs. Retail Profit-taking & risk management: Some institutional holders may be trimming exposure or rebalancing portfolios in response to volatility and macro uncertainty rather than signaling a loss of long-term conviction. Retail and tactical traders likely amplify ETF flows: JPMorgan analysts and market commentary have suggested that a large share of recent ETF inflows/outflows have been driven by shorter-term or retail-aligned behavior, with institutional investors behaving more defensively rather than selling en masse. 🧠 Big Picture: What This Means 1. Short-term pressure: Recent net outflows — including the reported ~$500 M — reflect market stress, profit-taking, and adjustments rather than a clean institutional exodus. 2. Not a structural collapse: ETF flows remain relatively balanced over longer horizons, and periods of inflows still occur. 3. Rotation & repricing: Some capital is shifting within the crypto ETF landscape (e.g., to altcoin ETFs), illustrating changing risk preferences rather than outright abandonment of crypto exposure. $BTC $ETH $XRP

Galaxy Digital has shared its predictions for the cryptocurrency markets for 2026. The company’s report indicates that following challenging market conditions in 2025, 2026 will see an acceleration in institutional adoption, stablecoins challenging traditional payment infrastructures, and blockchain-based financial products becoming mainstream. According to Galaxy Digital, Bitcoin is poised to finish 2025 near the levels it started at. The first 10 months of the year saw a strong rally, with regulatory reforms and ETF inflows driving Bitcoin to an all-time high of $126,080 in October. However, subsequent macroeconomic disappointments, shifts in investor narratives, the liquidation of leveraged positions, and whale selling disrupted market equilibrium. Prices retreated during this period, and by December, Bitcoin had returned to the $90,000 range. The report states that uncertainty regarding the Bitcoin price for 2026 is high. It notes that options markets are pricing in quite wide price ranges, such as $70,000 to $130,000 for mid-2026 and $50,000 to $250,000 for the end of the year. Galaxy Digital argues that if Bitcoin fails to sustainably settle above the $100,000-$105,000 range in the short term, downside risks persist. However, in the long term, with increased institutional access and loosening monetary policies, Bitcoin could establish itself in a position similar to gold as a “hedge against monetary devaluation.” The company explains its Bitcoin price predictions as follows: “BTC will reach $250,000 by the end of 2027. While 2026 is too chaotic to make predictions, it is still possible for Bitcoin to reach a new all-time high in 2026. Options markets are currently pricing in equal probabilities of $70,000 or $130,000 for the end of June 2026 and equal probabilities of $50,000 or $250,000 for the end of 2026.” Predictions regarding the Layer 1 and Layer 2 ecosystems indicate that the total market capitalization of “Internet Capital Markets” on Solana will reach $2 billion in 2026. It highlights the acceleration of the shift from memecoin-focused activities to on-chain business models that generate real revenue. Furthermore, it predicts that at least one major Layer 1 network will integrate a revenue-generating application directly at the protocol level, channeling the generated value back to the native token. Conversely, it is stated that current proposals to reduce inflation on Solana will not be accepted in 2026. Related News The Most Controversial FED Member Made a Statement About Cryptocurrencies In the stablecoin and tokenization sector, Galaxy Digital predicts that stablecoin transaction volume will surpass that of the ACH system. According to the report, stablecoin supply is showing a compound annual growth rate of 30-40%, with transaction volumes increasing in parallel. With the regulatory framework becoming clearer in 2026, stablecoins are expected to take on a more central role in the global payment infrastructure. Furthermore, it is noted that consolidation will occur among stablecoins developed in partnership with traditional financial institutions, with users gravitating towards a few large and widely accepted digital dollars. In the DeFi space, decentralized exchanges (DEXs) are projected to account for over 25% of spot trading volume by the end of 2026. Futarchy-based governance is expected to become widespread in DAOs, with treasury assets managed under this model projected to exceed $500 million. Furthermore, the total size of crypto-backed loans is expected to surpass $90 billion, and stablecoin interest rates are projected to remain relatively low and stable. Another notable topic in the report is privacy-focused cryptocurrencies. Galaxy Digital predicts that the total market capitalization of privacy tokens could exceed $100 billion by the end of 2026. Increased concerns among institutional investors regarding on-chain visibility are cited as factors strengthening demand in this area. Furthermore, weekly trading volume on platforms like Polymarket is expected to surpass $1.5 billion in the prediction markets. On the traditional finance front, Galaxy Digital predicts that more than 50 spot altcoin ETFs, in addition to numerous crypto-themed ETFs, could be launched in the US. Predictions also include net inflows into spot crypto ETFs exceeding $50 billion by 2026, major asset allocation platforms including Bitcoin in their model portfolios, and more than 15 crypto companies going public or listing on exchanges in the US. *This is not investment advice. Follow our Telegram and Twitter account now for exclusive news, analytics and on-chain data!

An internal strategy document attributed to Fundstrat Global Advisors projects a bearish outlook for major cryptocurrencies in early 2026. According to Cointelegraph, the circulating report warns of a meaningful drawdown during the first half of next year. The document sets specific downside targets for Bitcoin at $60,000 to $65,000, Ether at $1,800 to $2,000, and Solana at $50 to $75. Screenshots of the report were shared on social media platform X by crypto-focused accounts including Wu Blockchain. The material has not been publicly released by Fundstrat and its authenticity remains unconfirmed. The report was apparently written by Sean Farrell, head of digital asset strategy at the firm. Multiple accounts claim the document was distributed to internal clients. Fundstrat did not respond to requests for comment at the time of publication. This projection sharply contrasts with recent public statements from Tom Lee, managing partner and head of research at Fundstrat. At Binance Blockchain Week in Dubai earlier this month, Lee predicted Bitcoin could reach $250,000 within months. He called Ether at around $3,000 grossly undervalued. Lee argued that if Ether returned to its eight-year average ratio against Bitcoin, prices could approach $12,000. Internal Division Reflects Market Uncertainty The divergence between Fundstrat's internal guidance and its managing partner's public optimism reveals the complexity of cryptocurrency price forecasting. This split within a single research firm demonstrates how different analytical approaches can produce widely varying conclusions. Institutional investors relying on research from the same firm now face competing narratives about digital asset prospects. We reported that institutional investors showed growing confidence with 83% planning to increase crypto allocations in 2025. Spot Bitcoin ETFs accumulated over $65 billion in assets under management by April 2025. The current market environment differs from previous cycles as professional investors now apply systematic risk management rather than emotional decisions. Lee's company BitMine continued aggressive Ether accumulation despite market weakness. The firm held nearly 3.9 million ETH as of December 7, after adding more than 138,000 ETH in one week. This represents over 3.2% of Ether's total supply. Such substantial accumulation suggests institutional conviction despite near-term bearish signals from internal analysis. Institutional Adoption Creates New Market Dynamics The conflicting forecasts arrive as institutional cryptocurrency adoption reaches new levels. According to Grayscale, 86% of institutional investors either own Bitcoin or plan to do so in 2026. Regulatory clarity has transformed uncertainty into opportunity while institutional-grade investment vehicles have democratized access to previously fragmented markets. Grayscale expects bipartisan crypto market structure legislation to become law in 2026. This will bring deeper integration between public blockchains and traditional finance. The firm anticipates Bitcoin's price will likely reach a new all-time high in the first half of the year. This projection aligns more closely with Tom Lee's public statements than with Fundstrat's internal bearish guidance. The institutional investment landscape shows both bullish and cautious signals. Standard Chartered and Bernstein analysts have forecasted Bitcoin could reach $150,000 in 2026. These projections are grounded in Bitcoin's growing adoption by pension funds, endowments, and sovereign wealth funds. Net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have surged from $30 billion in early 2024 to nearly $125 billion by early 2026. However, skeptics note that market corrections remain possible. The Fundstrat internal report suggests potential buying opportunities could emerge later in 2026 following the projected drawdown. This approach reflects historical market cycles where significant pullbacks preceded new rallies. The document's focus on specific price levels indicates technical analysis combined with macroeconomic factors influenced the projections. The cryptocurrency market now operates with more institutional infrastructure than in previous cycles. BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust and Fidelity's FBTC have attracted billions in assets. Corporate treasuries continue adding Bitcoin to balance sheets. This structural shift provides greater stability compared to retail-dominated earlier periods. Investors face the challenge of navigating competing forecasts from respected analysts. The Fundstrat situation illustrates how internal risk management strategies may differ from public market commentary. Understanding these dynamics helps market participants make more informed allocation decisions as 2026 approaches.