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Crypto analyst Ali Martinez, in his analysis of Bitcoin’s current market cycle, pointed out a striking timing similarity to past cycles. According to Martinez, Bitcoin’s major market cycles follow a fairly consistent rhythm in terms of both duration and correction depth. According to the analyst, historical data shows that it takes an average of approximately 1,064 days for Bitcoin to reach a peak from a low point, while the time it takes to fall to the next low after that peak is an average of 364 days. Martinez stated that this pattern has repeated itself in three main cycles to date, and argued that the current cycle follows the same structure. In the first cycle, Bitcoin reached its peak in December 2017 from its January 2015 low in exactly 1,064 days. The ensuing bear market lasted 364 days, with a new low forming in December 2018. In the second cycle, it took another 1,064 days to reach its peak in November 2021 from the December 2018 low. Following this peak, a 364-day correction period resulted in Bitcoin hitting a low of approximately $15,500 in November 2022. Related News Experienced Analyst Katie Stockton Issues Warning on Bitcoin: “This is the New Support Level, an 80% Drop is Still Possible” Martinez noted that a similar pattern is emerging in the current cycle. According to him, Bitcoin reached its November 2022 low and its peak of around $126,200 in October 2025, again in 1,064 days. Based on this data, the analyst stated that Bitcoin is currently within a 364-day correction window, and this process points to a possible market bottom around October 2026. He argued that this date corresponds to approximately 288 days from today. On the other hand, Martinez also drew attention to price pullbacks in previous bear markets. Recalling that the 2017–2018 bear market saw an 84% decline and the 2021–2022 bear market saw a 77% decline, the analyst stated that the average of these two periods indicates a pullback of approximately 80%. He suggested that if this scenario repeats itself, the next market bottom could be around $37,500. *This is not investment advice. Follow our Telegram and Twitter account now for exclusive news, analytics and on-chain data!

A new analysis has been shared pointing to a fragile balance for Bitcoin in the cryptocurrency market. According to a CryptoQuant analyst, if the largest cryptocurrency falls below the $85,000 level, selling pressure could significantly increase and the decline could deepen. CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler stated that the Net Pressure Tilt indicator, which measures the buying and selling pressure of short-term investors, has fallen to its lowest level in the last three years, reaching the 5% range. According to Adler, this level indicates a temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers in the market. However, historical data shows that such equilibria are usually short-lived and shift direction quickly. The Net Pressure Tilt indicator is calculated based on the weighted difference between selling and buying pressure among short-term investors. Positive values indicate that selling pressure outweighs buying pressure, while negative values indicate that buying pressure outweighs selling pressure. According to current data, the 24-hour Net Pressure moving average is at 4.79, while the Bitcoin price is hovering around $87,324. In contrast, the indicator’s three-year median is 73.17, suggesting that selling pressure is generally more dominant during periods of market growth. Related News Bitcoin Bull Arthur Hayes Did What He Said He Would: He Started Selling an Altcoin Today Analysts note that the current situation shows a balance between buying and selling pressure among short-term investors. However, they point out that in past cycles, such balances often revert to selling pressure after short-term upward breakouts in bull markets. The current situation is described as more complex. The fact that the Bitcoin price has been trading approximately 13.9% below the cost basis of short-term investors for about two months indicates that this group is significantly at a loss and that the market has entered a bear phase. According to the analyst, the critical scenario is when Bitcoin falls below the $85,000 level, causing the Net Pressure to drop below -15. Such a scenario indicates that selling pressure could accelerate and a sharper pullback could occur. *This is not investment advice. Follow our Telegram and Twitter account now for exclusive news, analytics and on-chain data!

$BTC held around 87K this Christmas Eve, low movement, but stable. I picked up $UXLINK at $3.45 during Crazy 48H and locked in 66 BGB (231) on low volume. With a few hours left, I’m aiming for Top 4 to grab the 100 BGB reward. Low-participation phases are all about timing and volume. If BTC stays flat, tokens like $VOOI could see more interest. What’s your move, holding or pushing up?

Institutional demand for #Bitcoin is showing up again in the charts spot $BTC ETFs just posted meaningful net inflows, helping #BTC hold key levels and regain confidence even as markets shuffle capital around. These flows aren’t random noise, their structural fresh money coming in is often the precursor to stronger moves rather than panic selling. I’ve also noticed $UXLINK picking up renewed interest recently after its own community initiatives and buyback proposals, which fits into how onchain narratives rotate with broader sentiment. The timing of this lines up with Bitget 48 Hour Event Phase 12 a period when disciplined participation stands out more than noise. #UXLINK