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▪ The Fed and the market's reaction. Despite the rate cut, the market reacted unstably - a brief rise in BTC was followed by a pullback. Jerome Powell sent conflicting signals - simultaneously neutral, "hawkish" and "dovish", which increased uncertainty. There is no consensus within the Fed, and the base scenario now is a pause, not an active cycle of further cuts. A rate cut itself is no longer an automatic trigger for crypto growth. ▪ Why the growth has stalled. In this cycle, the market is almost entirely dependent on institutional money, not retail. Institutionals are acting cautiously and reducing their activity towards the end of the year. Without an influx of new capital, the market is unable to sustain a steady upside. ▪ Capital flows and ETFs. Inflows into the Bitcoin ETF in 2025 are noticeably lower than a year earlier. The slowdown in institutional purchases began in the fall. In December, for the first time since August 2023, net on-chain outflows were recorded, indicating sales rather than accumulation. The key factor for a turnaround remains real cash flows, not abstract "liquidity". ▪ The technical picture of BTC. Bitcoin has exited the bullish channel formed since 2023. The price cannot return to the channel, signaling a loss of momentum. The current phase of the market is consolidation with increased risks of a further sideways trend. ▪ Cycles and seasonality. Marcus Thielen believes that the 4-year cycle is still in effect, but its driver is the political cycle and elections, not the halving. Historically, BTC peaks have more often formed in Q4, after which the market has entered a cooling phase. The current dynamics fit well into this scenario. ▪ Altcoins and where the altseason is. Annual unlocks of altcoins worth tens of billions of dollars create constant pressure. Institutionals focus on BTC and partially ETH, bypassing smaller tokens. Traditional finance money is being directed into crypto stocks and IPOs, which are now effectively replacing the classic altseason. Among altcoins, Marcus Thielen singles out BNB as an ecosystem and profitable stake.

$BNB /USDT IS TARGETING THE 888 ZONE AFTER A SHARP LIQUIDITY SWEEP AND REACTION FROM LOCAL SUPPORT.💥🔥 After a strong rejection from the upper supply region, $BNB saw a sudden impulsive drop that flushed out late longs and collected liquidity below recent lows. The aggressive bearish candle indicates panic selling, but the immediate bounce from the demand zone around 840–845 suggests buyers are still active at discounted levels. As long as price holds above this support base, a short-term long opportunity remains valid, with upside potential toward 880–888 where previous imbalance and resistance are placed. This move would be considered a corrective rebound rather than a full trend reversal unless price reclaims higher structure. On the flip side, if $BNB fails to sustain above the 848–850 support zone and shows weakness again, the bounce could turn into a short continuation setup. A rejection from the 865–870 area would confirm that sellers are still in control, opening the door for another move toward 835 and potentially deeper levels. Until buyers show strong follow-through above resistance, rallies should be treated cautiously and managed as short-term trades. Volatility remains high; holding above support favors a relief bounce, while rejection near resistance will likely lead to another bearish continuation.

Bitcoin (BTC):$BTC ~$85,507 (trading down intraday) Ethereum (ETH): $ETH ~$2,912 Solana (SOL):$SOL ~$124 BNB (BNB): ~$844 (Prices are approximate and updated in real-time; use live charts on your exchange for exact levels.) --- 📉 Market Direction & Sentiment Bearish to Neutral Bias Right Now Overall crypto market cap slightly down and volume elevated — suggesting continuation of risk-off sentiment. Crypto sentiment indicators show bearish sentiment (“Extreme Fear”), which often presages volatility and range-trading. Macro catalysts — including upcoming U.S. CPI and jobs data — are increasing trader caution and reducing risk appetite. --- 🔍 Key Technical Themes Bitcoin (BTC) Price is below ~$90K resistance and trading in a broad sideways range (~$84K–$96K). Neutral technicals with mixed short-term signals — range plays and support/resistance trades are higher-probability than breakout longs right now. Levels to watch Support: $84,000 – $86,000 Resistance: $89,500 – $90,000+ Strategy: Consider short-term swing trades between support and resistance zones until a clear macro breakout catalyst emerges. --- Ethereum (ETH) ETH is trading near $3,000, struggling to reclaim key moving averages and resistance around ~$3,175–$3,200. Price compression suggests weaker upside momentum in the near term. Levels to watch Support: ~$3,000 round number Resistance: ~$3,175 – $3,200 Strategy: Range support long entries around $3,000, with tight stops; look for breakout above $3,200 before adding trend positions. --- Altcoins (SOL, BNB, XRP, Others) Altcoins are underperforming BTC & ETH, with many in flat or down ranges. Risk-off conditions typically favor BTC dominance — keep alt exposure low until sentiment improves. --- 📰 Market Drivers & News Impact Macro + Institutional Activity U.K. crypto regulation news aims to improve long-term clarity (effect on trader sentiment may be positive long term). HashKey crypto exchange IPO signals institutional interest in the space. Institutional tokenized fund activity (e.g., JPMorgan) shows gradual Wall Street adoption. Bearish Pressure Risk-off mood in equities and macro data release anticipation is weighing on prices. Fear & Greed is low — monitor for mean-reversion opportunities if overpriced fear spikes. --- 📈 Trader Tips for Today Short-Term Range Trade BTC & ETH between support/resistance levels with tight stops. Use scalping & range trades until a break above key levels or macro catalysts resolve. Watch Macro Events U.S. inflation and jobs data this week could trigger moves across crypto and risk assets. Risk Management Keep positions size controlled — volatility can spike quickly in low-liquidity periods. Alert to sudden leverage liquidations if BTC breaks key support.

#Solana and Base Lead in 2025 Blockchain Ecosystem Popularity Solana maintains its lead as the most popular blockchain ecosystem in 2025, with Base and #Ethereum following. However, #Solana's dominance faces challenges amid emerging ecosystems like Sui and $BNB Chain.