Understanding what the stock market do yesterday is crucial for anyone tracking financial trends, especially as global markets react to major economic decisions. Yesterday's session was particularly notable due to expectations around a Federal Reserve rate cut, which had significant implications for both traditional equities and the crypto sector. This article breaks down the key movements, the underlying drivers, and what traders should watch next.
As of June 12, 2024, according to industry reports, the Federal Reserve was widely expected to announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut. This expectation was so strong that it had already been fully priced into both stock and crypto markets. However, the real focus was on the Fed's accompanying press statement and President Powell's press conference, which could shift market expectations for future rate cuts.
Market data from CME FedWatch indicated an 85% probability of another 25 basis point cut in December, while the likelihood of a January cut stood at 43%. These probabilities are closely monitored by traders, as any shift can trigger immediate market reactions. The anticipation of further easing has contributed to increased volatility and trading volume across major exchanges, including Bitget.
Yesterday, the stock market experienced a speculative rally, described by some analysts as a 'mini-bubble.' This surge drew liquidity away from the crypto markets, leading to a temporary dip in digital asset prices and trading volumes. For example, total crypto market capitalization saw a modest decline, while daily trading volumes on Bitget reflected a cautious sentiment among traders.
Despite the outflow, it's important to note that such mini-bubbles in equities are often short-lived. Should the rally in stocks pause or reverse, liquidity could quickly return to the crypto sector. This dynamic highlights the interconnectedness of traditional and digital markets, especially during periods of monetary policy adjustment.
The Dollar Index (DXY) remains a critical factor in determining the direction of both stock and crypto markets. Typically, a Fed rate cut leads to a gradual decline in the DXY, as increased liquidity slightly devalues the currency. Since the start of 2024, the DXY has already fallen significantly, approaching the lower boundary of its long-term channel.
For crypto markets to enter a sustained bull run, a further decline in the DXY may be necessary. However, any sharp drop in the dollar could also fuel additional gains in equities, potentially delaying a full recovery in crypto prices. Traders on Bitget and other platforms are closely monitoring these macroeconomic signals to inform their strategies.
Yesterday's stock market activity underscores the importance of staying informed about central bank decisions and their ripple effects across asset classes. The interplay between rate cut expectations, liquidity flows, and currency trends creates both risks and opportunities for market participants.
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