Bitcoin X (tokenxoff.xyz) 價格BTC

The power of one $BTC is life changing opportunities by side 😎

Strategy has added another 1,286 $BTC for $116.3 million. That brings total holdings to 673,783 $BTC , roughly $63 billion in value, now controlling over 3% of Bitcoin’s fixed 21 million supply. At what point does accumulation like this change the game for the entire market?

$BTC - Mcap 1.87T$ - 81%/ 5.9M votes Bullish SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + meets positive simplification with a previously profitable Long order, estimated stop-loss around 0.41%. The uptrend is in the 100th cycle, amplitude 2.44%. #TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

Bitcoin remains in a broader corrective structure after a strong rejection from the $125,000–$126,000 macro supply zone, where price topped near the 1.0 Fibonacci level. That rejection marked a clear distribution phase, ending the prior bullish leg and triggering a sharp downside expansion. The selloff intensified once BTC lost the $108,700–$103,400 region (0.618–0.5 Fib), confirming a structural breakdown and shifting short-to-medium-term control to sellers. EMA Structure (Bearish-to-Neutral Alignment) 20 EMA – $89,494 50 EMA – $91,673 100 EMA – $96,725 200 EMA – $100,273 BTC is trading below the 100 & 200 EMA, with the 20/50 EMA attempting to curl upward. This suggests early stabilization, but price remains below key trend-defining averages, keeping the broader bias cautiously bearish. Fibonacci & Price Structure 1 Fib: $126,123 0.786 Fib: $116,400 0.618 Fib: $108,700 0.5 Fib: $103,405 0.382 Fib: $96,042 0.236 Fib: $91,410 Fib 0: $80,687 BTC is currently consolidating between $88,000–$92,000, just above a short-term demand zone formed after the sharp November–December selloff. This region has acted as a temporary base, with higher lows forming on the lower timeframe. A clean reclaim of $91,400 (0.236 Fib) would open the door for a recovery toward the $96,000–$100,000 resistance cluster, where EMA confluence is present. RSI Momentum RSI (14): 66 RSI has rebounded into the bullish momentum zone, signaling strong short-term recovery strength. However, this momentum is not yet confirmed by bullish structure, suggesting the move remains corrective unless followed by structural reclaim. 📊 Key Levels Resistance $91,400 (0.236 Fib) $96,000–$97,000 (0.382 Fib / 100 EMA) $100,000–$103,400 (200 EMA / 0.5 Fib) $108,700 (0.618 Fib) Support $88,000–$90,000 (short-term demand) $85,000 (local swing support) $80,700 (Fib 0 / major downside support) 📌 Summary BTC is attempting to form a base after a sharp corrective move from all-time highs. While momentum has improved and short-term structure is stabilizing, the broader trend remains corrective unless Bitcoin can reclaim the $96,000–$100,000 resistance zone with strength. Failure to hold above $88,000 would risk continuation toward the $85,000–$80,700 support region, while sustained acceptance above $100K would significantly improve the bullish outlook. $BTC

1) The historical cycle most people forget Altcoin cycles don’t start randomly. They usually start after OTHERS/BTC bottoms and break out. In Q4 2016, ALT/BTC bottomed. The breakout came soon after, and Q1-Q2 2017 turned into a strong altcoin run. In Q4 2020, the same thing happened. ALT/BTC bottomed again, broke its downtrend, and Q1-Q2 2021 became the next major alt cycle. Both times, the pattern was clear: Bottom first → Breakout → Altcoins outperform Bitcoin in the following quarters. 2) Where we are now in 2026 ? - ALT/BTC has been in a downtrend for almost 4 years. - RSI is most oversold ever in history. - MACD turning green after 21 months. - Possible bullish crossover. The downtrend appears to have bottomed in Q4 2025 and is now very close to breaking out. The structure today looks very similar to the periods right before previous altcoin runs. 3) The Russell 2000 connection Now look at equities. The Russell 2000 is trading above its previous all-time high and holding well. This index matters because it reflects risk appetite. In late 2016, the Russell broke out first → altcoins followed in 2017 In late 2020, the same thing happened → altcoins followed in 2021 The similar Russell breakout has happened again in Q4 2025. (This time, Russell breakout was delayed by 1 year. ) 4) Why this cycle feels delayed? Many expected this setup in 2024, but key triggers were missing. - The Fed balance sheet was still contracting. - Liquidity was tight. - Risk appetite was low. Those conditions only started improving toward the end of 2025. So the cycle is not broken. It simply shifted forward by about one year. 5) Why 2026 could be the year of alts? Right now, we have: - ALT/BTC bottoming in Q4 2025 - Russell 2000 breaking out in Q4 2025 - Liquidity starting to improve - Potential regulatory clarity heading into 2026 None of this guarantees an alt season. But historically, when these pieces lined up together, alts went on a big rally.