Prix de The Infinite GardenETH

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$ETH Trigger: Price drops to the ~$2,875 support level and shows signs of a bounce (e.g., a bullish hammer candlestick, or a bullish divergence on the 15m RSI). · Entry: Buy/long around $2,880. · Stop Loss: Just below $2,870. · Take Profit Targets: · TP1: $2,950 (a quick bounce for a small profit). · TP2: $2,990 (a larger move towards the first resistance) The long scalp is riskier as it's "catching a falling knife," but it can be profitable if you wait for a clear confirmation of a bounce at the strong support level ($2,875).

On November 20th, the crypto market shook again as: - $BTC crashed to 88,611.72, a **30 - $ETH dipped below *3,000*, touching 2,873.57 - *Total market cap* dropped to *3.13 trillion* This kind of pullback is not new , it’s the crypto cycle at work. Major corrections often *precede strong rebounds* (just like in past bull runs). But they also separate the patient from the panicked. 🔍 What This Means: - $BTC under 90k could be a *reaccumulation zone* if fundamentals remain strong. - $ETH at sub-3k* may look attractive to long-term believers. - Whales often *shake the market* to trigger weak hand exits. ⚠️ But Caution: - If volume confirms the drop, we could see *lower supports tested* - Watch for macroeconomic events, ETF decisions, or rate updates 💬 My Take: Corrections are part of the journey. The smart move? *Don’t react emotionally*. Stay informed, manage risk, and have your strategy clear.

$ETH Macro Economic Context & Overall Professional Chart Analysis; November 20, 2025 – Ethereum is trading at $3,027 after a 35–40% correction from its August ATH of $4,953. This is not a crash; this is a textbook high-timeframe correction inside a secular crypto bull market that began post-2024 halving and was supercharged by spot ETF inflows and the pro-crypto macro regime shift. Risk assets are rotating, rates are still elevated relative to inflation expectations, and year-end tax-loss harvesting is in full swing. The Nasdaq is heavy, DXY is bouncing, and real yields are grinding higher – classic risk-off ingredients. ETH/BTC ratio is also bleeding, confirming money is flowing out of alts into BTC safety. All of this creates the perfect macro headwind cocktail, which is why we are seeing aggressive distribution in the $3,100–$3,700 zone and now a slow bleed lower with occasional sharp dips to grab liquidity. Bottom line: macro is bearish to neutral short-term, strongly bullish medium-term. The real money is accumulating this correction, not panicking. Complete K-Line (Candlestick) Analysis – Multi-Timeframe; 4H: Consecutive strong bearish closes with expanding bodies and almost no lower wicks until the $2,873.57 sweep → pure displacement lower. The bounce candle off the low is a dragonfly doji followed by two inside bars → absorption, not reversal. Upper wicks on every recovery attempt = rejection. 1H: Perfect bearish stair-step lower – every rally gets sold into the EMA ribbon ($3,024–$3,028 zone right now). Yesterday’s 1H candle closed as a shooting star at $3,112.65 → confirmed rejection. Today we have a series of small-bodied candles with long lower wicks around $3,000–$3,020 → someone is defending, but not aggressively buying yet. 15M: Violent liquidity sweep to $2,993.90 (some exchanges printed $2,873), then instant 130-point recovery candle → classic stop hunt. Last 2 hours printing higher lows inside the 15m bullish FVG ($3,011–$3,033) → short-term bulls are trying. Overall candle language = “We are shaking out late longs and weak shorts before the real move.” Volume & Fund Flow Analysis; 24h volume 126.26K ETH – average, not panic. Volume spikes exactly on the downside legs → bearish conviction. Bounce volume is declining → retail trying to catch the knife, smart money letting it run. Fund flow (1D): Large: +57.16K buy vs 62.95K sell → whales slightly net selling Medium: +5.29K buy vs 83.75K sell → heavy distribution Small: +647K buy vs 75.9K sell → retail buying the dip aggressively. Translation: Smart money (medium + large) net sold ~84K ETH into retail hands. This is distribution, not accumulation – yet. Market Structure Analysis (HTF → LTF); Daily/4H: Bearish – clear LH/LL since $4,953. Major bearish BOS at $3,189.06 (4H OB break). We are now in the 4th lower low of the correction. 1H: Still bearish, last bullish structure broken at $3,249.40. Current 1H structure is attempting a potential MSS (market structure shift) if we take out $3,112.65 with displacement. Current valid structure = bearish until proven otherwise. BOS | FVG | ChoCh | Trend Line | Liquidity Analysis (Pure ICT/SMC); Bearish BOS levels broken: $3,692.17 → $3,249.40 → $3,189.06 → $3,033 (current fight zone). Key FVGs: Bullish FVG (15m/1H): $3,011.65 – $3,033.13 (currently inside it). Bearish FVG (4H): $3,189.06 – $3,249.40 (unmitigated, magnet). Major Bullish FVG (4H): $2,916.30 – $2,998.87 (partially mitigated at $2,873 sweep). Trend lines: Descending channel upper trendline ~$3,195–$3,220 next touch. Lower trendline held perfectly at $2,873.57. Liquidity pools: Buy-side liquidity taken: $2,873–$2,916 equal lows (swept). Sell-side liquidity resting: $3,106.82 (24h high) + $3,112.65 swing high + $3,189 OB. The $2,873 sweep was a deliberate raid to grab buy stops and load shorts. We are now in the manipulation phase before markdown continuation or reversal. Auction Market Theory / Smart Money Complete Analysis; We are trading below value (all MAs stacked bearishly). The auction has accepted prices below the developing value area low (~$3,050). This is discount but discount created by engineering, not genuine discovery. Smart money has engineered a stop run below the major 4H bullish order block ($2,916–$2,998) to create fear, induce retail to sell or chase shorts at the low, then reverse. The real play is the Judas Swing: sweep lows → trap new shorts → explosive markup. This is exactly what happened in March 2025, May 2025, and August 2025 before every major leg up. Trade Plan – $5,000 Capital Deployment (ICT/SMC Precision); Bias: Aggressive bullish reversal – we are buying the engineered discount before markup phase. Capital: $5,000; Risk per trade: 1.5% max = $75. Leverage: 5x max (Bitget perpetual) Primary Setup – “The $2,900 Accumulation Raid Reversal” (my highest conviction setup of 2025) Entry zone: $2,950 – $2,920 (confluence of 4H bullish OB + FVG + lower trendline + 0.786 Fib of entire move from $3,692). Exact entry: Limit cluster $2,935–$2,925 (inside the 4H OB). Stop loss: $2,873 (below the sweep low) → $62 risk per ETH at 5x = ~1.21 ETH position size → total risk $75. Targets (scaled): $3,106.82 liquidity grab → +$171 (+5.8%) → 2.8R $3,189 FVG fill → +$254 (+8.7%) → 4.1R $3,249 bearish OB → +$314 (+10.7%) → 5R $3,400 channel top → +$465 (+15.8%) → 7.5R Risk/Reward on full runner = 1:7.5+. Expected monetary return on $5,000 at 5x = $3,750–$4,500+ profit if runner hits. Alternative aggressive entry (if you can’t wait): Market buy on 15m/1H displacement above $3,033 with strong close above EMA ribbon → same targets, stop below $3,011 FVG. Bearish plan only if we lose $2,873 with volume → short to $2,700 then $2,516, but probability <25%. Catchline: “They just handed us the biggest gift of the correction a engineered sweep of the yearly open range lows. The same hands that created the $4,953 top are the same hands buying your panic at $2,9xx. Load the dip or watch from the sidelines – your choice.” This is not financial advice, but this exact setup has printed +100% moves three times this year already. Position is already mentally loaded. See you at $4,000+ before Christmas.$ETH