Prix de THE TICKER ISETH

💸 $21M drained from SBI Crypto wallets (BTC, ETH, LTC, DOGE, BCH) on Sept 24, per @zachxbt 🔁 Laundered via instant exchanges → Tornado Cash 🇰🇵 On-chain patterns look DPRK-linked #SAFU #crypto #hacks

$ETH H4 appears to be building an impulsive wave structure. Main points are: 1. $4,300 must remain support 2. $4,600 must get broken inside this wave 3 3. Time band for my HTF wave 4 vs the HTF w2 is almost completed on October 6th. Puts more likely hood on the fact the lows were put in at $3,816 last week and we are inside the 5th on the HTF.

In the ever-expanding world of digital assets, $2Z has been carving out attention as one of the fast-rising names traders are beginning to watch. As with any emerging cryptocurrency or token, there are multiple layers to understand before diving in: price action, utility, community strength, liquidity, and its potential role within broader market cycles. To trade $2Z effectively, you need more than blind optimism—you need strategies, patience, and the right questions to guide your decisions. Understanding the Nature of $2Z At its core, $2Z operates as a blockchain-based token that thrives on volatility and community interest. What makes $2Z appealing to traders is its ability to mirror the patterns of meme coins, while also showing signals of utility-driven adoption. Its price swings can be rapid and aggressive, which provides opportunities for both day traders and long-term holders. The first unique insight about $2Z is its liquidity structure. Unlike established assets like Bitcoin or Ethereum, liquidity pools for $2Z may not be very deep, which means small orders can shift the market significantly. This volatility can be a double-edged sword: it rewards disciplined risk management but punishes emotional trading. Key Data Points Every Trader Must Analyze When evaluating $2Z, these metrics should be at the top of your checklist: Volume Trends: Consistently high trading volume indicates active market participation. If volume starts declining while price increases, it may be a sign of weakening momentum. Holder Distribution: Is $2Z concentrated in the hands of a few wallets (“whales”), or is ownership more decentralized? Whale activity can drastically move the market. Market Sentiment: Track $2Z’s presence on platforms like Twitter (X), Telegram, and Reddit. Strong community hype often precedes major price moves in small-cap tokens. Liquidity Pools & Exchanges: Where is $2Z traded? On decentralized exchanges (DEXs), liquidity can dry up quickly, while centralized exchanges provide more stability. Correlation with Market Cycles: Does $2Z move independently, or does it follow Bitcoin and Ethereum’s trend? This helps traders predict reversals during bullish or bearish phases. Trading Strategies for $2Z Because $2Z combines volatility and speculation, traders should employ a hybrid approach. Here are practical strategies: Swing Trading: Monitor 4H and daily charts for breakouts above resistance levels. Traders can ride these mid-term moves, taking profits on sharp pumps rather than waiting for “moonshots.” Scalping: On high-volume days, $2Z can make intraday moves of 10–20%. Scalpers can exploit these short bursts, but must use tight stop-losses to protect capital. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): For traders who believe in $2Z’s long-term potential, spreading buys over time reduces the risk of entering at the peak of a hype cycle. Whale-Watching: Tools that track large wallet movements can give early warnings. If a whale dumps a huge amount of $2Z, it’s often a precursor to a price drop. Risk Management via Stop-Losses: Because of $2Z’s volatility, it’s essential to predefine exit points. A good rule is never to risk more than 2–5% of your portfolio per trade. Questions Every Trader Must Ask Before Entering $2Z What is $2Z’s actual use case beyond speculation? Is the community growing, or is interest fading after initial hype? How exposed am I to sudden liquidity drops? Am I entering because of FOMO, or because of solid analysis? Do I have a clear exit strategy (profit target and stop-loss)? Conclusion $2Z is not a token for the faint-hearted. It offers thrilling opportunities for profit but demands calculated moves. Traders who succeed with $2Z aren’t those who chase every pump but those who respect the risks, analyze market data, and apply disciplined strategies. If you’re considering adding $2Z to your trading journey, approach it as both a test of skill and a lesson in risk management. After all, in the crypto market, survival is as important as profit. $2Z

Citigroup Bullish on Bitcoin and Ethereum Citigroup has raised its Bitcoin bull case forecast to $231,000 within 12 months, with a base case of $181,000 and a bear case of $82,000. The bank expects BTC to reach $132,000 by year-end, citing strong institutional inflows and adoption. For $ETH , Citigroup’s bull case stands at $7,300, with a base of $5,400 and bear of $2,000, projecting $4,500 by year-end. However, the bank remains more bullish on Bitcoin due to stronger demand flows. This revision comes as $BTC ETFs record over $1.6B in inflows in three days, driving Bitcoin above $119K to start October. Weakening U.S. labor data and rising Fed rate cut odds further support the rally.

→ Total supply: 10 billion XPL tokens  → Circulating supply at launch: ~1.8 billion (≈ 18%)  → Token allocation: • Public sale: 10% (1 billion)  • Ecosystem / growth: 40% (4 billion)  • Team: 25% (2.5 billion) vesting over multi-year  • Investors / strategic partners: 25% (2.5 billion) with vesting schedule  → Inflation model: starting ~5% annually, gradually declining toward ~3%, with base transaction fees being burned to offset issuance  → Utility: • Gas token for non-sponsored transactions (smart contracts, non-USD₮ transfers)  • Staking / validator reward token to secure network  • Governance and ecosystem incentive token  → Project mission: optimized for stablecoin transactions, zero-fee USD₮ transfers, bridging traditional finance and DeFi, combining Bitcoin-security with EVM compatibility  → Risks to monitor: regulatory pressure (on stablecoins), unlock schedules, adoption traction, competition with established chains  K-Line / Price Structure & Technical Baseline (1-day timeframe) On the daily chart, XPL appears to have been building a base after initial listing volatility. Key observations: The range of consolidation is fairly wide — price tested both support and resistance zones multiple times, forming a horizontal “accumulation box.” K-line wicks on both sides indicate active battle between bulls and bears; longer lower shadows show buyer defense near the bottom of the base. Volume during the sideways phase has generally tapered, suggesting declining participation as the structure compresses. There is evidence of higher lows forming over the consolidation, giving a slight upward bias within the box. If one draws trendlines connecting recent swing lows, there’s a gentle, rising support slope pressing into the upper resistance. On momentum indicators: daily RSI likely oscillates in neutral zones (30–70), avoiding extremes; MACD is likely flattening with histograms shrinking. (Exact values depend on chart) Any breakout above the resistance of the box with strong candle close and volume expansion would be a technical shift from accumulation to trend. Because this is a base buildup stage, the daily K-line structure suggests that a breakout or breakdown from this box will be defining for the next directional phase. Fundamental Strength & Project Analysis XPL’s structural thesis is strong in concept. Here’s how I see its strengths, challenges, and key levers: Strengths & Opportunities 1. Stablecoin-centric niche Many blockchains focus on general-purpose smart contracts; XPL’s specialization in efficient stablecoin transfers gives it a leaner value proposition. It doesn’t need to compete across everything — just be best in one domain. 2. Zero-fee USD₮ transfers If executed securely, this is a powerful moat. Everyday payments, remittances, and DeFi transfers would benefit if users don’t pay gas on stablecoin movement. 3. Balanced tokenomics with burn mechanism The inflation schedule, combined with fee burns, is designed to avoid runaway dilution if demand scales. That alignment between utility and supply helps. 4. Staking & governance alignment Holding XPL gives stakeholders influence over the network’s direction, incentive design, and upgrades — that tends to bind long-term capital. 5. Strategic unlocks and vesting Because large allocations (team, investors) are vested, major dumps early on are less likely — giving time for adoption to catch up. Challenges & Risks 1. Regulatory pressure on stablecoins If a jurisdiction clamps down on stablecoin models or cross-border transfers, XPL’s core use case could face headwinds. 2. Adoption & liquidity It’s not enough to have features — they must see usage. The network must attract stablecoin volume, developer interest, TVL, integrations, and partnerships. 3. Bridge security & architecture complexity Integrating Bitcoin anchoring and EVM compatibility, while preserving security, is nontrivial. Any exploit or failure at bridge or consensus can erode trust. 4. Unlock schedule risk As ecosystem tokens and team / investor tokens vest, pressure could increase on price unless utility demand outpaces supply issuance. 5. Competition & incumbents Well-established chains already offer DeFi and stablecoin rails; XPL needs a differentiator that users and protocols feel is compelling enough to switch. Given these, the long-term success isn’t guaranteed — it depends heavily on execution, security, and network effects. But the foundation is attractive. Long-Term Prediction Assuming the project life cycle proceeds well — adoption, integrations, usage — here’s how the long-term path could unfold: In the early months, XPL remains range-bound or modestly bullish as the base builds and adoption grows. Once the daily structure breaks upward, we could see a multi-phase trend: first to a mid-tier target (e.g. 2×–3× from base), then — if adoption accelerates — toward 5× or more. If usage gains traction (stablecoin volume on XPL, DeFi protocols deploying on it, integrations with CeFi / TradFi), a path to significant multiples is plausible (e.g. 4x to 8x from current, depending on entry price). In less favorable scenarios (weak adoption, regulatory friction, security issues), price may stagnate or revert toward lower support zones, possibly retesting base lows. Overall bias: cautiously bullish over the year horizon, contingent on execution and adoption. Trading Strategies Aligned to Long-Term Trend Because we are focusing on longer-term setups — aligning with daily structure and project fundamentals — here are strategies for those aiming to ride the trend over weeks to months: Strategy A: Base-Break Accumulation Watch for a convincing daily close above the top of the accumulation box (resistance level). Only enter after a retest of that resistance (now acting as support) or strong confirmation candle. Use a stop slightly below that retest zone. Target zones: first mid-range (e.g. 1.5× base height), then extended if momentum holds. Trail stops upward as trend evolves. Strategy B: Phased DCA Entry Within Base If you believe in the project long-term, accumulate gradually within the base (buy on dips) while keeping position sizing controlled. Don’t rush to full size — spread entries across dips and small breaks upward. For each tranche, define a stop-loss (e.g. below base bottom) and a profit target if breakout happens. This gives you exposure through accumulation and reduces timing risk. Strategy C: Trend Follow with Volatility Breaks After the breakout, ride the trend using trailing techniques (moving averages, channel breaks). Re-enter on pullbacks to trend-support lines or key moving averages (e.g. 21 EMA, 50 EMA on daily). Use stop zones based on structure — e.g. new higher lows. Take partial profit at logical resistance zones, leave the rest to trend. Risk Management Notes Never risk more than a small % of your capital on a single long-term position. Adjust sizing so that drawdowns from base break failures are acceptable. Use stop-loss zones defined by the structure (below base, below retests). If the breakout fails and reverses into the base, reduce exposure or exit. What Must Unfold for Success To make the bullish path more likely, these must materialize: Real usage: stablecoin flows, volume on XPL rails, ecosystem activity Technical robustness: no major failures or hacks, secure bridging Partnerships, integrations, developer adoption Controlled token unlocks not flooding the market Sector tailwinds: stablecoin demand growth, regulatory clarity If instead those stall, the base may remain unresolved or break downward. Summary XPL is an ambitious project that targets a clear utility niche — efficient stablecoin infrastructure. Its tokenomics are designed to balance issuance and burn, and its architecture is innovative (Bitcoin anchoring + EVM). On the daily chart, price is consolidating within a base, with signs of upward pressure as higher lows form. For long-term participants, the key path is: wait for breakout, enter with confirmation or phased DCA, ride the trend with structure-based stops, and scale as adoption confirms. The bullish scenario could produce multiples if execution aligns; risk lies in slow adoption, competitive pressure, and unlock dilution. $XPL