The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 71%
According to CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 71.0%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 29.0%. The likelihood of the Fed making a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points by November is 28.7%, while there's a 54.0% chance for a cumulative cut of 75 basis points, and a 17.3% chance for a total reduction of 100 basis points.
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MoreThe Governor of the Bank of Japan's speech leans toward the "hawkish" side. If the economy continues to develop as expected, the central bank will further raise interest rates. The specific decision will be made after assessing the impact of this rate hike.
Kazuo Ueda: It is indeed possible to make policy decisions based on underlying inflation