The crypto market in October is off to an optimistic start, with investors eagerly anticipating the much-talked-about “Uptober” Bitcoin rally.
Historically, October has been a positive month for Bitcoin, with 80% of Octobers posting gains. This year, several key factors are supporting this bullish outlook.
We are in the early innings of a full blown bull
Current trend is mirroring past cycles
Why I am bullish in Q4 and in 2025 🧵👇 pic.twitter.com/rQphk6nOki
— arndxt (@arndxt_xo) September 30, 2024
One of the most significant developments is Metaplanet’s Bitcoin buying spree, Asia’s version of MicroStrategy. The Japanese-listed firm recently added 107 BTC to its holdings, bringing its total to over 500 BTC, following a 1 billion Yen investment. This aligns with its strategy of accumulating Bitcoin, especially after the Fed’s interest rate cut in September.
Bitcoin’s Current Cycle – Similarities To 2016 And 2020 Bull Markets:
- Halving Effect: Both the 2016 and 2020 bull runs were preceded by a Bitcoin halving event. The recent halving in 2024 is driving similar supply shock dynamics, reducing the amount of new Bitcoin entering circulation, which historically leads to price surges due to reduced supply and increase in demand.
- Gradual Price Increase: Like in previous cycles, Bitcoin has seen steady accumulation phases, followed by strong upward movements, particularly post-halving. The gradual rise in Bitcoin’s price in 2023 is mirroring the early stages of the 2016 and 2020 bull runs, which culminated in exponential growth.
- Institutional Involvement: In 2020, institutional adoption (e.g., MicroStrategy) played a significant role in boosting Bitcoin’s price. In this cycle, Metaplanet and other major firms are following the same pattern of accumulating BTC, signaling increased institutional confidence.
- Macroeconomic Factors: In both 2020 and this cycle, macroeconomic factors like rising inflation and monetary stimulus have fueled Bitcoin’s appeal as a hedge, similar to how it became a favored asset amid global uncertainty in 2020.
However, analysts are optimistic , expecting Bitcoin to break through $70,000 in the coming weeks as macroeconomic indicators and rising liquidity favor a rally.
As Q4 progresses, all eyes are on the possibility of further rate cuts and rising institutional investments, suggesting a strong finish for the year.
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