Bitget App
Trade smarter
Buy cryptoMarketsTradeFuturesEarnWeb3SquareMore
Trade
Spot
Buy and sell crypto with ease
Margin
Amplify your capital and maximize fund efficiency
Onchain
Going Onchain, without going Onchain!
Convert & block trade
Convert crypto with one click and zero fees
Explore
Launchhub
Gain the edge early and start winning
Copy
Copy elite trader with one click
Bots
Simple, fast, and reliable AI trading bot
Trade
USDT-M Futures
Futures settled in USDT
USDC-M Futures
Futures settled in USDC
Coin-M Futures
Futures settled in cryptocurrencies
Explore
Futures guide
A beginner-to-advanced journey in futures trading
Futures promotions
Generous rewards await
Overview
A variety of products to grow your assets
Simple Earn
Deposit and withdraw anytime to earn flexible returns with zero risk
On-chain Earn
Earn profits daily without risking principal
Structured Earn
Robust financial innovation to navigate market swings
VIP and Wealth Management
Premium services for smart wealth management
Loans
Flexible borrowing with high fund security
Fed heads into December meeting with new president-elect, same economic concerns

Fed heads into December meeting with new president-elect, same economic concerns

BlockworksBlockworks2024/11/12 07:22
By:Blockworks

Inflation is higher than it was in 2016, and the Fed is just at the beginning of its rate-cutting cycle


This is a segment from the Forward Guidance newsletter. To read full editions, subscribe .

You may be experiencing some déjà vu. But for the Fed, 2024 is very different from 2016. 

Newsletter

Subscribe to Forward Guidance Newsletter

Subscribe

While our president-elect and his ambitious economic plans (tax cuts, tariffs, stricter immigration policies) are the same today as they were eight years ago, the economy is in a vastly different place. Last week’s election results may have come too late for committee members to consider them in their interest rate decision , but there is still one more meeting before the end of the year. 

Back in December 2016 (roughly six weeks after Donald Trump was elected for his first term), the FOMC, as expected, raised interest rates for the first time in a year. What came as more of a surprise was that committee members — including current Fed Chair Jerome Powell — went on to increase the pace of rate hikes for the following year. 

“Many participants noted that the effects on the economy of such policy changes, if implemented, would likely be partially offset by tighter financial conditions, including higher longer-term interest rates and a strengthening of the dollar,” according to minutes from the FOMC’s December 2016 meeting.

Inflation is higher than it was in 2016, and the Fed is just at the beginning of its rate-cutting cycle. The labor market is in a precarious position, one that could be disrupted by Trump’s mass deportation plans. Prices on goods and services are easing, but higher tariffs pose a threat. 

We’ll get some Fed speak this week that could shed some light on the central bank’s plans. The next policy-setting meeting is slated for Dec. 17-18.

Start your day with top crypto insights from David Canellis and Katherine Ross. Subscribe to the Empire newsletter .

Explore the growing intersection between crypto, macroeconomics, policy and finance with Ben Strack, Casey Wagner and Felix Jauvin. Subscribe to the Forward Guidance newsletter .

Get alpha directly in your inbox with the 0xResearch newsletter — market highlights, charts, degen trade ideas, governance updates, and more.

The Lightspeed newsletter is all things Solana, in your inbox, every day. Subscribe to daily Solana news from Jack Kubinec and Jeff Albus.

Tags
  • Donald Trump
  • FOMC
  • Forward Guidance newsletter
  • Inflation
0

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

PoolX: Earn new token airdrops
Lock your assets and earn 10%+ APR
Lock now!