95.5 per cent probability that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged in March
According to CME ‘Fed Watch’: the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 95.5%, and the probability of cutting rates by 25 basis points is 4.5%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged in May is 72%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 26.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 1.1%.
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