Bitget App
Trade smarter
Buy cryptoMarketsTradeFuturesEarnWeb3SquareMore
Trade
Spot
Buy and sell crypto with ease
Margin
Amplify your capital and maximize fund efficiency
Onchain
Going Onchain, without going Onchain!
Convert
Zero fees, no slippage
Explore
Launchhub
Gain the edge early and start winning
Copy
Copy elite trader with one click
Bots
Simple, fast, and reliable AI trading bot
Trade
USDT-M Futures
Futures settled in USDT
USDC-M Futures
Futures settled in USDC
Coin-M Futures
Futures settled in cryptocurrencies
Explore
Futures guide
A beginner-to-advanced journey in futures trading
Futures promotions
Generous rewards await
Overview
A variety of products to grow your assets
Simple Earn
Deposit and withdraw anytime to earn flexible returns with zero risk
On-chain Earn
Earn profits daily without risking principal
Structured Earn
Robust financial innovation to navigate market swings
VIP and Wealth Management
Premium services for smart wealth management
Loans
Flexible borrowing with high fund security
Cardano’s Pivotal Crossroads: Will $0.80–$0.90 Define ADA’s Next Bull or Bear Move?

Cardano’s Pivotal Crossroads: Will $0.80–$0.90 Define ADA’s Next Bull or Bear Move?

ainvest2025/08/29 18:15
By:BlockByte

- Cardano (ADA) faces a pivotal $0.80–$0.90 price range, with potential 14% rally or 6.5% decline based on technical and macroeconomic factors. - Technical indicators show conflicting signals: RSI near oversold, bullish Supertrend, but breakdown risks retesting $0.835 support. - Fed's 2025 rate cut and weakening USD could boost ADA demand, while $6.96B in futures volume highlights institutional positioning. - Institutional adoption surges 300% YoY to $1.2B, with 83% ETF approval odds and $25.94M off-chain

Cardano (ADA) stands at a critical juncture as its price hovers near the $0.80–$0.90 range, a zone that could either catalyze a 14% rally or trigger a 6.5% decline. This volatility is driven by a complex interplay of technical indicators, macroeconomic tailwinds, and institutional adoption dynamics. For investors, understanding this interplay is key to navigating ADA’s next move.

Technical Indicators: A Tug-of-War Between Bulls and Bears

ADA’s recent consolidation near $0.90–$0.91 has drawn attention to its critical support level, where technical indicators suggest divergent outcomes. The RSI is approaching oversold territory (50.95), and the TD Sequential indicator on hourly charts flashes a buy signal, while the Supertrend remains bullish [1]. However, a breakdown below $0.90 could see ADA retest $0.835, a level that has historically acted as a psychological floor [2].

A contracting triangle pattern on the hourly chart adds nuance. Bulls must defend $0.8720 resistance to avoid a pullback to $0.850, while a close above $0.85 could reignite momentum toward $0.969 and eventually $1.00–$1.10 [4]. The 20 EMA (around $0.90) and 50 EMA ($0.895) further underscore the short-term indecision, with ADA’s position above the Ichimoku Cloud hinting at underlying trend strength [3].

Macroeconomic Tailwinds: Fed Policy and Dollar Dynamics

The U.S. Federal Reserve’s anticipated 50-basis-point rate cut in September 2025 is a pivotal macroeconomic catalyst. By reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like cryptocurrencies, this dovish pivot could boost ADA’s appeal [1]. Concurrently, a weakening U.S. dollar (DXY) against the euro and yen has fostered risk-on sentiment, historically favoring high-growth assets like ADA [5].

The inverse relationship between the DXY and ADA is particularly salient. A stronger dollar often drives capital into safer assets, while a weaker dollar amplifies demand for cryptocurrencies as inflation hedges [6]. Recent data shows ADA’s futures trading volume hitting a five-month high of $6.96 billion, coinciding with its test of the $0.90 support level [5]. This liquidity surge suggests institutional players are positioning for both bullish and bearish scenarios.

Institutional Adoption and On-Chain Confidence

Cardano’s institutional adoption is accelerating, with custodied ADA holdings surging 300% year-over-year to $1.2 billion [1]. This liquidity is critical for the pending Grayscale ADA Spot ETF, which has an 83% approval probability on prediction markets. If approved, the ETF could unlock billions in institutional capital, mirroring Ethereum’s 2024 ETF-driven surge [1].

On-chain metrics further reinforce this narrative. Whale inactivity—over 30% of ADA tokens unmoved for one year—signals strong holder confidence [1]. Additionally, $25.94 million of ADA has been moved off-chain, indicating accumulation by long-term investors [1]. These signals suggest that even if ADA dips below $0.90, the broader trend remains constructive.

The $0.80–$0.90 Range: A High-Stakes Game of Patience

The $0.80–$0.90 range is not just a technical battleground but a psychological one. A successful defense of $0.90 could validate the growing institutional interest and on-chain strength, potentially propelling ADA toward $1.00. Conversely, a breakdown below $0.80 would signal weakening bullish pressure, with a consolidation phase between $0.75–$0.78 likely [6].

South Korea’s dominance in ADA trading has also amplified liquidity, making price swings more pronounced [1]. This regional concentration adds another layer of volatility, as regulatory shifts or market sentiment in Asia could accelerate either direction.

Conclusion: A Calculated Bet on Resilience

ADA’s next move hinges on its ability to hold key technical levels while navigating macroeconomic headwinds and tailwinds. For bulls, the $0.90 support and institutional adoption provide a compelling case for a $1.00–$1.10 rally. For bears, a breakdown below $0.80 could trigger a 6.5% drop to $0.835, testing the resolve of long-term holders. Investors must weigh these scenarios against the broader context of Fed policy, dollar dynamics, and on-chain confidence—a delicate balance that defines ADA’s pivotal crossroads.

Source:
[1] Cardano (ADA): A 14% Rally Lurking at Key Support Amid Bullish Sentiment
[2] Cardano Price Prediction for August 26: Bulls Test Resistance, Bears Eye $0.80 Mark
[3] Cardano Price Prediction: Can ADA Avoid Breakdown Below $0.82 and Target $0.90 Next
[4] Cardano (ADA) Consolidates Below Resistance
[5] The Impact of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on Crypto Prices
[6] Cardano Price Prediction: August 2025

0

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

PoolX: Earn new token airdrops
Lock your assets and earn 10%+ APR
Lock now!

You may also like

XRP at a Technical and Institutional Inflection Point: Is $3.10 the Gateway to a New Bull Cycle?

- XRP faces critical $3.10 resistance, with technical indicators suggesting potential breakout into $3.60+ range via bullish pennant pattern. - SEC's October 2025 ETF decision and RLUSD's $1.3T transaction volume highlight institutional adoption accelerating XRP's mainstream acceptance. - Whale accumulation of $3.8B XRP since July 2025 signals anticipation of price surge, reinforcing infrastructure-driven utility over speculation. - Break above $3.10 could trigger $4-$5 retest mirroring 2017 rally, while b

ainvest2025/08/29 23:45
XRP at a Technical and Institutional Inflection Point: Is $3.10 the Gateway to a New Bull Cycle?

Which Has the Highest Potential to Deliver 1,000x Returns in 2025: DOGE, Pepe, or Remittix?

- Meme coins like DOGE and PEPE rely on social media hype and Bitcoin trends, lacking real-world utility despite volatile price swings. - Remittix (RTX) targets the $19T remittance market with crypto-to-bank infrastructure, projecting 35x returns by 2026 through partnerships and adoption. - Investors seeking 1,000x returns must weigh speculative meme coin risks against RTX's utility-driven growth tied to tangible financial solutions and institutional backing.

ainvest2025/08/29 23:45
Which Has the Highest Potential to Deliver 1,000x Returns in 2025: DOGE, Pepe, or Remittix?

The Onchain Macroeconomic Revolution: How Chainlink Is Enabling Real-Time Economic Data for DeFi and Institutional Markets

- Chainlink partners with U.S. Department of Commerce to bring real-time macroeconomic data (GDP, PCE) onto blockchain networks via Data Feeds, enabling automated trading and inflation-linked assets. - The initiative aligns with U.S. policy goals, modernizing public infrastructure while supporting institutional adoption through ISO 27001/SOC 2 compliance and cross-chain asset tokenization. - Chainlink's Automated Compliance Engine and Onchain Compliance Protocol embed KYC/AML rules into smart contracts, at

ainvest2025/08/29 23:45
The Onchain Macroeconomic Revolution: How Chainlink Is Enabling Real-Time Economic Data for DeFi and Institutional Markets

Whale-Driven Liquidity Squeeze in Bitcoin and Altcoins: Strategic Shifts and Retail Opportunities

- Whale activity in 2025 drives $1.1B BTC transfers and $2.5B ETH accumulation, shifting capital from Bitcoin to altcoins and Ethereum derivatives. - Institutional whales exploit fragile altcoin/DEX liquidity, triggering flash crashes and inflows to AAVE, UNI, and WLD amid Ethereum's deflationary appeal. - Retail investors leverage MVRV/SOPR metrics and TVL diversification to navigate whale-driven volatility, while regulatory shifts like U.S. BITCOIN Act reshape market dynamics.

ainvest2025/08/29 23:45
Whale-Driven Liquidity Squeeze in Bitcoin and Altcoins: Strategic Shifts and Retail Opportunities