HOLO -2283.87% Annual Decrease Following Significant Recent Downturn

On SEP 21 2025,

experienced a sharp decline of 507.94% within a single day, falling to $0.3596. Over the past week, HOLO fell by 860.93%, recorded a 2283.87% decrease in the last month, and sustained a 2283.87% loss over the year.

Analysis of technical metrics indicates that HOLO is undergoing a significant bearish trend. The RSI has sunk below 20, signaling extreme overselling, while the MACD has consistently reflected a bearish crossover throughout the previous month. Both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages have separated widely, resulting in a large negative gap that points to an extended downward movement. This technical setup mirrors scenarios observed during notable market downturns, further supporting the view of persistent weakness in HOLO’s price trajectory.

The latest price

have prompted a reassessment of positioning among various token strategies. On-chain data from institutions reveal a significant drop in funding for long positions, as several major holders have liquidated their assets in the last two weeks. Despite these steep declines, there have been no significant network-level incidents—such as upgrades or governance shifts—linked to the sell-off. Instead, it appears traders are responding to tighter liquidity conditions and waning trust in the token’s core valuation.

Backtest Hypothesis

An outlined backtesting approach seeks to test the performance of a flexible stop-loss and trailing take-profit framework amid HOLO’s heightened volatility. This method enters long trades near prominent resistance identified via Fibonacci retracement, with exits set at a 10% stop-loss from the entry point. Profit-taking is triggered at 25%, and a second target at 50% is set if bullish momentum continues. Trades are confirmed only when both RSI divergence and MACD crossovers are present.

The premise is that utilizing these technical signals would have helped limit losses during the 507.94% one-day drop by facilitating earlier exits in the bearish movement. Over the span of 30 days, the model intends to secure gains from brief rallies while remaining cautious against additional downside. The planned backtest will employ data from July through September 2025 to assess this strategy’s effectiveness.