Opinion: If Bitcoin falls below $100,000 this year or early next year, buy as much as possible; a strong rally is expected to begin in Q2 2026.

ChainCatcher news, crypto KOL Ansem posted that, "I think the probability of the green line (bitcoin dropping to $105,000 and then rebounding to break new highs) is 15%, the blue line (bitcoin dropping to around $90,000 and then rebounding) is 60%, and the red line (dropping to around $75,000) is 20%. If bitcoin falls below $100,000 this year and in early 2026, buy as much as possible and wait to sell at a higher price in 2028."

I also agree that the 'four-year cycle' is no longer applicable, but I think the bear market will last longer than analyst @plur_daddy expects, with a longer downward period, and the upward trend will start to surge significantly around the second quarter of 2026. In the worst-case scenario, if an economic recession really occurs, bitcoin could fall to $50,000 (5% probability).