Progress in U.S. Supreme Court Tariff Case Debate: Trump's Chances of Winning Decrease

Jinse Finance reported that the U.S. Supreme Court held oral arguments on Wednesday regarding the legality of Trump’s large-scale imposition of reciprocal tariffs. In addition to the liberal justices, several conservative justices also questioned the legality of Trump’s tariffs. Chief Justice John Roberts stated that Trump’s tariffs are a tax on Americans, which has always been a core power of Congress. Among the three justices appointed by Trump during his presidency, Neil Gorsuch and Amy Coney Barrett also raised skeptical questions and delved into the arguments of the tariff opponents. Conservative justices hold a majority in the Supreme Court, with a ratio of 6:3. The Supreme Court may announce the verdict in December. According to the latest data from the prediction platform Polymarket, the probability of Trump winning the case is 27%, down from 40% before the debate, and briefly fell to a new low of 18% during the hearing.