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Swipe to place bets? How Warden is disrupting prediction markets with the Tinder model

Swipe to place bets? How Warden is disrupting prediction markets with the Tinder model

BitpushBitpush2025/11/06 16:07
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By:Foresight News

Author: 1912212.eth, Foresight News

Original Title: Prediction Markets Meet Tinder: Can Warden’s New Product Let You Bet with a Swipe?

The AI wave has swept the globe in recent years, with AI agents bringing convenience and efficiency to human life and work. Amid this AI revolution, its integration with cryptocurrency has naturally drawn significant attention from industry entrepreneurs and investors alike.

Warden is quietly but efficiently attracting attention. As a platform focused on AI-driven on-chain agents, Warden’s official data reveals that its Beta version has been live for less than four months, with daily active users stable at 350,000, totaling over 9 million agent transactions. Its annual revenue has even reached $1.7 million, sourced from trading fees, cross-chain operation fees, AI feature subscription fees, and developer incentives.

While these numbers are not staggering, they reflect a solid foundation within a niche developer community. However, to maintain an edge in the fiercely competitive crypto market, continuous expansion of boundaries is still required.

Prediction Markets on the Rise

Recently, one of the biggest narratives in the crypto space has been prediction markets. On October 23, Bloomberg cited sources revealing that Polymarket is seeking funding at a valuation of $12 to $15 billion, just a month after receiving a $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange. Also this month, another US-compliant prediction market, kalshi, completed a $5 billion valuation round, raising $300 million with a star-studded lineup of investors including Sequoia Capital, a16z, Paradigm, CapitalG, and Coinbase Ventures. In addition, kalshi will begin allowing customers from over 140 countries to place bets on its website.

Data shows that the total trading volume of mainstream prediction market platforms is soaring.

Swipe to place bets? How Warden is disrupting prediction markets with the Tinder model image 0

Limitless’s founder sparked controversy marketing on Twitter and secured another round of multimillion-dollar funding. He Yi personally championed the prediction market startup on BNB Chain, and the recently invested Opinion has opened invitation code testing.

The industry is buzzing, and outsiders are not idle either. Robinhood is exploring offshore prediction markets outside the US, and even Trump Media Group has partnered with Crypto.com to enter the prediction market business.

Recently, Warden officially entered the prediction market track with its self-developed product BetFlix. Warden’s entry is not just following the trend, but an attempt to fill the gap in real-time, entertainment-oriented prediction markets, avoiding the complexity of traditional platforms.

Prediction Markets + Trading

The booming prediction market backdrop provides an excellent entry point for Warden’s BetFlix. The success of Polymarket and Kalshi stems from the 2024-2025 election cycle and sports betting, with trading volumes surging. Behind the high valuations is investors’ bet on the monetization of “collective intelligence”—these platforms allow users to predict everything from politics to economics through event contracts, often achieving higher accuracy than traditional polls.

Swipe to place bets? How Warden is disrupting prediction markets with the Tinder model image 1

The problems are also obvious: high user barriers, requiring reading lengthy event descriptions, choosing Yes/No, investing funds, and waiting days for settlement. This deters many retail users, especially in the highly volatile crypto environment.

Warden’s BetFlix is designed to address this pain point, simplifying prediction trading to the extreme, blending real-time and entertainment elements, and aiming to capture mobile users.

Swipe to place bets? How Warden is disrupting prediction markets with the Tinder model image 2

The core of BetFlix is its swipe mechanism, similar to Tinder’s matching interface. Users simply swipe left or right to predict the direction of a token’s price—swipe left for bearish, swipe right for bullish.

This design abandons the complexity of traditional platforms: no need for chart analysis, no need for macro research, and not even an amount input. Trades focus on short-term volatility, can settle in as little as 10 seconds, and require a minimum participation of just $2, yet offer up to 100x leverage.

Swipe to place bets? How Warden is disrupting prediction markets with the Tinder model image 3

This means users can see results within seconds, and the instant feedback mechanism increases stickiness.

Compared to Polymarket, where users must delve into event details, or Kalshi’s compliance-oriented approach, BetFlix is more like a gaming app: settlement cycles are only 5-15 seconds, users can continuously swipe to participate in multiple rounds, enjoying entertainment while making small profits.

Team

Warden’s team configuration is the backbone of its prediction market strategy. Co-founder David Pinger serves as CEO; he previously led R&D at Qredo Labs, driving Web3 innovations such as stateless chains, WebAssembly, and zero-knowledge proofs. He also served as head of product and operations at Binance.

Another key figure is Luis, former regional director at Binance, responsible for developing the Latin American market. His experience has helped Warden quickly establish an agent network in emerging regions.

Josh Goodbody, as Executive Chairman, is a star member of the team—he was previously head of Binance’s European market, driving compliance and user growth in Europe. He has also worked at HTX, State Street Bank, Open Custody Protocol, and graduated from University College London.

Other team members hail from Uber, Tendermint, Google, NASA, and W3C, bringing deep expertise in bilateral network expansion, blockchain protocols, and AI systems.

Warden’s past strategic moves have paved the way for BetFlix’s launch. Since 2023, Warden has focused on AI agent networks, with early products such as agent-building tools helping developers create on-chain bots for automated trading and data aggregation. In 2024, it partnered with the Cosmos ecosystem to expand into multi-chain environments, ensuring secure agent execution. This provides the technical foundation for BetFlix—AI agents monitor price fluctuations in real time, generate swipe options, and prevent human manipulation.

Overall, Warden’s entry into the prediction market with BetFlix is an attempt to transition from AI infrastructure to the application layer. Stimulated by the high valuations of giants like Polymarket, this move carries certain risks, but if BetFlix’s user growth explodes as expected, Warden’s valuation could soar as well.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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