- Hayes notes improved liquidity as Fed may halt QT on Dec 1.
- U.S. banks increased lending in November, boosting market sentiment.
- Bitcoin may dip into low $80Ks but likely won’t break below $80K.
Crypto investor and BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has offered a cautiously optimistic outlook on the market . In a recent post, Hayes highlighted early signs of improving liquidity conditions. According to him, the U.S. Federal Reserve could put an end to its quantitative tightening (QT) program as soon as December 1st, which may support broader financial markets, including crypto.
Hayes also pointed out that U.S. banks increased their lending activities in November, a signal that financial institutions are becoming more willing to extend credit — a key component in liquidity recovery. This shift in bank behavior could create a more favorable environment for risk assets like Bitcoin .
Bitcoin Price Outlook: Volatility Ahead
Despite the improving backdrop, Hayes warned of short-term volatility. He predicts Bitcoin may “chop below $90,000,” with a potential dip into the “low $80Ks.” However, he remains confident that $80,000 will act as a strong support level, suggesting the dip could be a healthy correction rather than the start of a bear market.
This outlook reflects Hayes’ broader view that while liquidity is not yet fully back, it’s beginning to move in the right direction. As liquidity improves and investor confidence builds, Bitcoin could stabilize and resume its upward trend.
The Bigger Picture
Hayes’ analysis aligns with broader crypto market sentiment, where traders are cautiously optimistic amid macroeconomic uncertainties. If the Fed truly ends QT and banks keep lending, the crypto market may be entering a phase of renewed momentum — albeit with choppy price action in the short term.
For investors, Hayes’ message is clear: while Bitcoin may experience turbulence, the $80K floor could remain intact, making dips buying opportunities rather than panic triggers.
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