Bitcoin News Update: Major Institutions Wager on Bitcoin’s Long-Term Potential as Expectations of Fed Rate Cuts Drive Surge to $93K

Bitcoin Surges Amid Anticipation of Federal Reserve Rate Cut

On November 25, 2025, Bitcoin rallied to $93,000, buoyed by growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates in December. Market sentiment now places the likelihood of a 25-basis-point cut at 85%.

This upward movement saw Bitcoin rise 1.67% from $87,000, reclaiming that key level. The broader cryptocurrency market also experienced a wave of optimism: XRP jumped 11%, and Ethereum surpassed the $2,900 mark. Analysts point to improved liquidity forecasts and a shift in macroeconomic outlook as the main drivers, especially with the Fed’s December 10 meeting approaching.

Federal Reserve Policy Fuels Speculation

The central bank’s decision to halt quantitative tightening on December 1, following a 25-basis-point rate reduction in October, has intensified speculation about further monetary easing. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders now assign a 71% probability to another rate cut. Meanwhile, on-chain data reveals significant Bitcoin outflows from exchanges, suggesting that short-term holders are capitulating and the market may be stabilizing. This trend is consistent with past cycles, where crypto assets tend to rebound after periods of heightened fear. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, for example, climbed from 15 to 25 in early November, reflecting a shift in investor sentiment.

Institutional Interest Accelerates

Institutional appetite for Bitcoin has also intensified. The state of Texas invested $5 million in BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF and is preparing an additional $5 million self-custodied purchase.

Harvard University’s endowment revealed a $443 million position in BlackRock’s IBIT, while Abu Dhabi’s Al Warda Investments nearly tripled its ETF holdings to $517.6 million. These developments underscore the growing acceptance of Bitcoin among major institutions, even as regulatory uncertainty persists in certain jurisdictions.

Market Risks and Regulatory Developments

Despite the bullish momentum, the market faces ongoing risks. Outflows from ETFs and the unwinding of leveraged positions have exerted downward pressure, with large investors reducing their holdings by 1.5% in October and retail participants exiting in significant numbers. Derivatives activity has produced mixed signals, including a notable $1.76 billion call condor on Deribit targeting a $100,000–$112,000 range by December. Regulatory changes are also shaping the landscape: South Korea has tightened anti-money laundering rules, while Turkmenistan has legalized cryptocurrencies under strict government oversight.

Outlook: All Eyes on the Fed

Looking forward, the market’s attention remains fixed on the Federal Reserve’s upcoming decision. A rate cut could further cement Bitcoin’s status as a high-beta risk asset, though a more cautious approach by the Fed might limit potential gains. Analysts, including Charles Edwards of Capriole Fund, note that Bitcoin’s price swings are closely linked to evolving expectations around interest rates, and the cryptocurrency may increasingly mirror movements in equity markets rather than gold. Should the Fed signal a clear dovish turn, Bitcoin could challenge the $100,000 threshold, though factors such as ETF redemptions and regulatory challenges may moderate any rally.