Polymarket pricePOLY
Polymarket is a decentralized information marketplace platform that allows users to vote on some of the world's most controversial topics, such as politics and current events.
On Polymarket, users build portfolios based on their predictions and receive rewards if they are correct. Polymarket can be understood as a leading source of unbiased, real-time data on future events.
Polymarket announced on social platform X that Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), will make a strategic investment of US$2 billion in Polymarket at a valuation of US$9 billion. Subsequently, Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan hinted at the upcoming issuance of the Polymarket token, with the symbol POLY.
Polymarket has confirmed that its token, Poly, will be issued in the first quarter of 2026, with the top 20% of traders receiving an airdrop. $1k pnl puts you in top 0.51% of users. $50k volume gets you top 1.74%. Delta neutral volume farming the optimal strategy with 3 to 6 months runway left.
Polymarket market Info
Live Polymarket price today in USD
The cryptocurrency market is buzzing on January 11, 2026, with significant movements in major assets, continued institutional growth, and a forward-looking regulatory landscape shaping investor sentiment. While market stability is observed, a blend of cautious optimism and underlying volatility defines the current environment for digital assets.
Bitcoin's Resurgence and Bullish Outlook
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading actively, hovering in the range of $90,000 to $93,000 as it navigates a period of consolidation following a notable rally at the start of the year. This resurgence comes after a corrective phase in late 2025. Analysts are largely bullish on Bitcoin's trajectory for 2026, with some prominent Wall Street figures, such as Tom Lee of Fundstrat Global Advisors, forecasting a potential surge to new all-time highs by the end of January, surpassing the October 2025 peak of $126,000. Longer-term predictions for Bitcoin in 2026 extend even further, with targets ranging from $150,000 to $250,000. This optimistic outlook is heavily underpinned by robust institutional demand, evidenced by the substantial inflows into US-based spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), which now collectively manage nearly double the Bitcoin they held at their debut two years prior. Digital Asset Treasuries (DATS) are also noted for their significant accumulation of BTC, signaling a strong long-term bullish sentiment among public firms.
Despite the positive price action, the broader market sentiment, as reflected by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, remains in a 'neutral to fear' zone. Macroeconomic factors, including US employment data, continue to influence the short-term appeal of cryptocurrencies, contributing to a cautious environment.
Ethereum's Strategic Upgrades and Price Targets
Ethereum (ETH) is also showing signs of a strong recovery in early 2026, trading between $3,150 and $3,800 after a challenging 2025. Wall Street analyst Tom Lee has issued a highly bullish forecast for Ether, suggesting it could reach $9,000 early in the year, representing a significant potential upside. This prediction is partly fueled by Ethereum's continuous development roadmap. Developers have outlined two major network upgrades for 2026: 'Glamsterdam' in the first half of the year, aimed at enhancing scalability and gas efficiency, and 'Hegota' later in the year, which will integrate further execution- and consensus-layer changes. These upgrades are part of Ethereum's strategic shift towards a predictable biannual release schedule, designed to bolster its competitive edge.
Development activity across Ethereum projects is experiencing a significant surge. MetaMask, for instance, leads in development points, driven by its mUSD stablecoin integration and improvements in user security and DeFi accessibility. Starknet also ranks highly, focusing on advancing Layer 2 zk-rollup solutions to boost Ethereum's scalability.
Evolving Regulatory Landscape and Institutional Embrace
Regulation remains a pivotal theme for the crypto market in 2026. Governments globally are increasingly prioritizing national strategic policy goals and seeking to reduce regulatory friction to foster innovation. In the United States, the anticipated 'CLARITY Act' is a major point of focus, aiming to establish a clear market structure for crypto assets. This legislative effort is expected to broaden blockchain adoption beyond just trading, enabling non-banking entities to issue compliant tokens and stablecoins, and driving the development of blockchain-based payment systems and digital asset platforms.
The surge in institutional interest is a defining characteristic of the current market. Regulated financial institutions are increasingly participating in Decentralized Finance (DeFi), and the focus on effective crypto sanctions measures is intensifying, coupled with advancements in blockchain analytics for enhanced compliance.
Key DeFi Trends and Market Innovations
In the Decentralized Finance (DeFi) sector, several trends are gaining momentum for 2026. The push for unified stablecoin layers is a critical development aimed at resolving liquidity fragmentation across various platforms and blockchains. Additionally, there's growing speculation about Decentralized Exchanges (DEXs) posing a significant challenge to Centralized Exchanges (CEXs). A strong emphasis on privacy-focused protocols is also anticipated to drive further institutional adoption within the DeFi space.
Illicit Activities and Upcoming Listings
Despite the broader market maturation, the crypto space continues to grapple with illicit activities. In 2025, illicit crypto volume reached an all-time high of $158 billion, primarily due to intensified sanctions enforcement and increased use by state-sponsored actors. However, as a proportion of the overall crypto volume, illicit activity saw a slight decrease.
Today, January 11, 2026, marks the scheduled spot trading listing of Dignity Gold (DIGAU) on XT.COM within its Innovation Zone for Real World Asset (RWA) assets, an event that could contribute to price discovery and liquidity for the token.
The confluence of strong institutional investment, strategic network upgrades, and a maturing regulatory environment positions the crypto market for a dynamic and potentially transformative 2026.
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How are institutions and celebrities predicting Bitcoin prices in 2026?
The table below shows the price predictions for Bitcoin by relevant institutions and prominent figures at the end of 2025. All information was collected from publicly available online sources.
Optimistic views are primarily based on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, increased institutional allocation, and structural buying driven by spot ETFs, with targets mostly concentrated between $150,000 and $250,000. Cautious and bearish views emphasize that slowing demand, macroeconomic tightening, or technical structural disruption could trigger a deep pullback, with scenarios potentially leading to declines to $70,000, $56,000, $25,000, or even $10,000.
Some of these institutions' and celebrities' past predictions were very close to Bitcoin's price performance, while others were quite far off. Therefore, please consider these predictions objectively in conjunction with more information.
In summary, Bitcoin's price performance in 2026 will primarily be driven by the implementation of the US National Bitcoin Strategic Reserve policy and the macro liquidity resulting from global monetary easing. Meanwhile, the market's cyclical recovery demand following the significant correction in 2025, the continued allocation of institutional funds, and global geopolitical and inflationary pressures will also be key variables influencing its price trend.
| Institutions and Celebrities | Introductions | Bitcoin target price in 2026 | Attitude |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Hoskinson | Cardano founder | $250,000 | Very optimistic |
| Robert Kiyosaki | Rich Dad, Poor Dad author | $250,000 | Very optimistic |
| Galaxy Digital | Crypto asset management company | $250,000 | Very optimistic |
| Arthur Hayes | BitMEX co-founder | $200,000+ | Very optimistic |
| Brad Garlinghouse | Ripple CEO | $180,000 | Very optimistic |
| VanEck | Investment companies specializing in ETFs | $180,000 | Very optimistic |
| JPMorgan | A leading global financial services group | $170,000 | Very optimistic |
| Tom Lee | Fundstrat founder | $150,000–$200,000 | Very optimistic |
| Standard Chartered Bank | British International Commercial Bank | $150,000 | Optimistic |
| Bernstein Research | Wall Street investment banks | $150,000 | Optimistic |
| Bitwise | Crypto asset management company | $150,000 | Optimistic |
| Citigroup | Global financial services group | $143,000 | Optimistic |
| Grayscale | The world's largest crypto asset management company | Breaking all-time high | Optimistic |
| Jurrien Timmer | Fidelity Director of Global Macro | $75,000 | Pessimistic |
| CryptoQuant | On-chain data analytics platform | $56,000～$70,000 | Pessimistic |
| Peter Brandt | Legendary trader with over 40 years of experience | $25,000 | Very Pessimistic |
| Mike McGlone | Senior Commodity Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence | $10,000 | Very Pessimistic |
What will the price of POLY be in 2027?
In 2027, based on a +5% annual growth rate forecast, the price of Polymarket(POLY) is expected to reach $0.00; based on the predicted price for this year, the cumulative return on investment of investing and holding Polymarket until the end of 2027 will reach +5%. For more details, check out the Polymarket price predictions for 2026, 2027, 2030-2050.What will the price of POLY be in 2030?
About Polymarket (POLY)
What Is Polymarket?
Polymarket is the world's largest decentralized prediction market platform. It allows users to speculate on real-world events using cryptocurrency. Built on the Ethereum and Polygon blockchain networks, Polymarket provides a transparent, secure platform where users can buy and sell shares that represent the probability of a particular outcome. Polymarket covers a wide range of events, from political elections to sports outcomes and economic forecasts.
The key feature of Polymarket is its use of blockchain technology to ensure transparency and immutability in all transactions. By using stablecoins like USDC for trading, the platform minimizes volatility in transaction values, providing more stability than other cryptocurrency-based platforms. Polymarket’s decentralized nature allows anyone to participate in the prediction markets, making it accessible to users globally.
Who Founded Polymarket?
Polymarket was founded by Shayne Coplan in 2020. Coplan, a young entrepreneur, launched Polymarket to revolutionize prediction markets by leveraging blockchain technology. Under his leadership, Polymarket quickly grew to become the largest decentralized prediction market in the world, securing major investments from prominent figures in the cryptocurrency and venture capital sectors.
Polymarket has raised significant funding across multiple rounds, with backing from venture capital firms like Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund and contributions from high-profile investors such as Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin. Despite facing regulatory challenges, the platform has continued to thrive and expand, especially during globally significant events like the U.S. Presidential elections.
How Polymarket Works
Polymarket operates on a simple principle: users bet on the outcomes of future events by purchasing shares that represent the market’s view of the probability of that outcome. Shares are priced between $0.00 and $1.00, with the price reflecting the event's likelihood. For instance, if the price of a "Yes" share for an election result is $0.72, it means the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. If the event resolves in favor of the chosen outcome, each share becomes worth $1.00, providing a profit for the correct prediction. Conversely, incorrect predictions result in the shares becoming worthless.
Polymarket offers different types of prediction markets, including:
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Binary Markets: Simple yes/no outcomes, such as “Will Candidate X win the election?”
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Categorical Markets: Multiple outcomes, such as “Which team will win the championship?”
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Scalar Markets: Markets based on ranges, like “Will the stock price exceed $100 by the end of the year?”
How to Get Started with Polymarket
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Sign Up: Create an account using your email or a supported crypto wallet. Ensure you're connected to the Polygon network.
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Deposit Funds: Buy USDC on a major exchange and deposit it into your Polymarket account. You can also use a credit card for deposits.
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Choose a Market: Explore available markets and select an event to bet on.
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Place a Bet: Buy shares based on your prediction of the outcome. You can sell these shares anytime before the market closes.
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Withdraw: Cash out your USDC by withdrawing it to your crypto wallet.
This quick process enables new users to start trading and participating in prediction markets easily on Polymarket.
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