Prix de The SandboxSAND

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Hey folks, as a trader who's spent the last four years glued to charts on Bitget, I've seen my share of post-listing dramas. LiveArt's $ART just hit the scene with a bang on September 8, peaking at 0.10 USDT before the inevitable cooldown. and today we're staring at a 4h candle that's testing nerves—close at 0.03640, down 4.62% from open at 0.03831. It's a classic pump-dump echo, but with broader market jitters dragging BTC to $115,864, $ART's dip feels sharper. Volume's thinning, but whispers of staking perks and RWA fractions keep the long-term vibe alive. Let's break it down. $ART Chart Pulse: The Red Flags Waving Peeking at these 4h Bitget charts from 11:07-11:08 UTC, $ART's wrestling a bearish shadow. That TEMA(9) line sits at 0.03727, a stubborn resistance as price bounces off lows near 0.03685. MACD(12,26,9) histogram's flipping negative—bars shrinking from green to red, signaling momentum's leaking out. High of 0.04146 earlier in the session? Ancient history now. It's like the token's catching its breath after a wild TGE sprint on September 9, where early claimants grabbed 10% unlocks and eyed 120% loyalty bonuses. But sentiment on X is mixed: one trader's hyping a quick x2 flip, another's calling it a loser at -4.62%. Feels human—euphoria to exhaustion in a week. Support Story: The Line in the Sand Zoom in on those annotated zones: the current support cluster at 0.03654 (labeled 51:13) must hold, or bullish dreams shatter. It's drawn as a horizontal blue line, backed by prior lows around 0.03685-0.03135. If breached, next stop's 0.02881—echoing the session's deeper wicks. But here's my two cents from years of spotting these: $ART's fractional art angle (think owning slivers of a Picasso) ties into Decentraland's Art Week hype starting September 24. That could spark volume if we stabilize. Right now, though, it's a coin toss—respect this floor, and we might see a V-reversal; crack it, and panic sells flood in. Short-Term Structure: Bearish Tilt with a Rebound Tease Over the next 24-48 hours, structure screams cautious bear. Price's carved a descending channel since the 0.04146 high, with lower highs and lows confirming the downtrend. RSI's hovering mid-40s (not oversold yet), and that MACD line's dipping below zero—pure seller control. Yet, if support at 0.036 holds (as the blue box screams "bullish momentum continue"), we flip to neutral-bullish. My read? 60% chance of a probe lower to 0.035 before any snapback, fueled by today's altcoin bleed (check $MERL down 7%). Broader crypto's red across the board, but $ART's fresh listing gives it outlier potential. Trade Structure Guide Dip-buy on 0.036 support confirmation (close above TEMA 0.03727)—target 0.041 resistance for 12% upside, trail stops at 1% below entry. Short if breaks 0.036 to 0.035, aiming 0.031 with stop at 0.037. Risk 1-2% per trade; watch MACD crossover for exit cues. (47 words) Wrapping up, $ART's no moonshot yet—it's a gritty holdout in a shaky September. I've traded through worse post-hype slumps; patience here could pay if art-DeFi narrative clicks. What's your take—holding or folding? Stay sharp out there.

SAND 2W — the higher the timeframe, the more important the order block is.

I want to showcase an "ignored" trade from this weekend to highlight that trading is all about probabilities (and my flawed thinking in this case). I’m mainly sharing it because I think some people can learn from this. No P&L card here since I didn’t execute correctly (don’t think I make no mistakes). An alert went off and $SAND reached the MTF levels I had been watching for quite some time. I calmly analyzed the setup again to look for potential targets and journal it in my Notion beforehand. From my journal (beforehand): I classified it as a (B) setup and chose to ignore it, since I only want to take (A) setups on the MTF. However, I went to the LTF to spot weakness,and I even found it. LTF weakness: My B setups have around a 30–40% win rate, so the flaw here is that I ignored an 8–9RR setup, which only needs a 10–15% win rate. This is a "BIG" flaw in my thinking, as probabilities were telling me to take the trade. A big factor was also that I wasn’t in my office and had to trade from my laptop while on the road. However, I think I used this excuse to not execute correctly. Final TP would have been hit. No worries though—there are opportunities every day, plus this serves as a big "reminder" to myself to always keep thinking in probabilities in this game. Hope you learned something from it, I sure did 😁