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BlockBeats News, December 23, according to CME "FedWatch" data, after the release of today's U.S. macroeconomic data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year has dropped to 13.3%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 86.7%. Last week, the probability of a Fed rate cut in January had risen to 31%. The inflation-adjusted U.S. real GDP annualized quarterly growth rate for the third quarter recorded 4.3%. U.S. GDP growth surged, marking the strongest pace since the fourth quarter of 2023. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged until March next year is 54.4%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 40.7%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 4.9%. The next two FOMC meeting dates are January 28, 2026, and March 18, 2026, respectively.

BlockBeats News, December 23rd, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, after today's release of US macroeconomic data, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year has dropped to 13.3%, while the probability of maintaining the interest rate unchanged is 86.7%. Last week, the probability of a January rate cut by the Fed rose to 31%. The initial estimate of the US third-quarter real GDP annualized quarterly growth rate, adjusted for inflation, recorded 4.3%, with the US GDP growth rate soaring to the strongest pace since the fourth quarter of 2023. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged until March next year is 54.4%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 40.7%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 4.9%. The dates of the Fed's next two FOMC meetings are January 28, 2026, and March 18, 2026.

The US Dollar Index is approaching a three-month low and is positioned above a key support line not seen since the 2008 financial crisis. Precious metals and other hard assets have surged strongly due to the weakening dollar, but bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are still facing pressure.