Tom Lee: If the Federal Reserve Turns Dovish, It Will Create Strong Conditions for Financial Markets to End the Year on a High Note

According to ChainCatcher, Tom Lee, the newly appointed Chairman of the Board at BitMine and a renowned market analyst, recently released a macroeconomic outlook report. He pointed out that as 2025 enters its final phase, the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy is expected to shift noticeably toward a dovish stance, while the ISM Manufacturing Index is projected to rebound above 50. These two key factors will create strong conditions for a robust finish in global financial markets by the end of 2025.

In his report, Tom Lee divides the 2025 market trend into three phases: the “Tariff Concern Period” from January to April, the “V-shaped Rebound Period” from April to the present, and the currently developing “Dovish Fed and ISM Recovery Period.” Data shows that the S&P 500 Index has risen 9% so far this year, outperforming market expectations.

Tom Lee predicts that the S&P 500 Index could reach the 6,800–7,000 range by the end of 2025. He emphasized that when market interest rates fully reflect the Fed’s dovish stance, it will have a significant positive impact on the economy and the stock market, although this process may be accompanied by volatility.